Pellegrino vs Giustino 1:2: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: A. Pellegrino 62% · L. Giustino 38%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 73% | 27% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 64% | 36% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 57% | 43% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 51% | 49% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 44% | 56% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 40% | 60% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 63% | 34% |
Sample: 4,391 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Under 22.0out · 25 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Andrea Pellegrino | Lorenzo Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Aces | 7 |
| 5 | Double faults | 2 |
| 56% | First serves in | 59% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 71% |
| 30% | Second-serve points won | 47% |
| 3/8 | Break points converted | 4/8 |
| 8/12 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 56% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 44% |
| 80 | Total points won | 87 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| A. Pellegrino | Tour | L. Giustino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 61% |
| Return points won | 38% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 25% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.36 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.29 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 9/14 | 17/27 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 63% | |
| Matches in the sample | 55 | 68 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Andrea Pellegrino
- 07/10/26LMatej Dodig#174Challenger Braga · R323:6 6:3 1:6
- 09/09/26LValerio Aboian#347Challenger Genoa · R163:6 2:6
- 08/09/26WMika Petkovic#437Challenger Genoa · R327:6 6:4
- 25/08/26LColton Smith#212ATP US Open · Q16:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/08/26LZizou Bergs#39Challenger Quebec City · R163:6 2:6
- 18/08/26WNishesh Basavareddy#139Challenger Quebec City · R323:6 6:3 6:4
- 30/07/26LThiago Monteiro#235Challenger San Marino · R163:6 2:6
- 28/07/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#318Challenger San Marino · R326:4 6:0
- 19/07/26LGonzalo Bueno#183ATP Estoril · Q23:6 7:5 4:6
- 18/07/26WJoao SilvaATP Estoril · Q16:3 6:2
Lorenzo Giustino
- 08/10/26LCarlos Sanchez Jover#335Challenger Palermo · R166:2 2:6 3:6
- 06/10/26WChristian Langmo#534Challenger Palermo · R326:4 6:1
- 01/10/26LM. W. Donald#418Challenger Bari · R167:6 3:6 1:3
- 29/09/26WJohn Sperle#667Challenger Bari · R327:5 6:7 6:4
- 25/08/26LGrigor Dimitrov#127ATP US Open · Q10:6 3:6
- 21/08/26LBenjamin Hassan#500Challenger Sion · SF6:3 2:3
- 20/08/26WDimitar Kuzmanov#367Challenger Sion · QF6:3 5:7 6:1
- 19/08/26WHenry Bernet#371Challenger Sion · R166:4 3:6 7:6
- 18/08/26WThiago Cigarran#622Challenger Sion · R326:4 6:3
- 07/08/26LJerome Kym#249Challenger Hagen · QF3:6 6:7
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| A. Pellegrino | L. Giustino | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 1–517% | 16–964% |
| Clay | 28–1960% | 22–2052% |
| Grass | 1–150% | 0–10% |
Head to head
A. Pellegrino 1–0 L. Giustino
- 23/05/22Winner: Andrea Pellegrino6:4 6:4