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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 1claybest of three setsqualifying

Pereira vs Hernandez 0:1: result and our tips

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Jose PereiraATP #738Elo 1497clay 1508
0:1retired1:6 0:1
Alex HernandezATP #497Elo 1459clay 1449

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Jose Pereira54%
Alex Hernandez47%

Elo: J. Pereira 59% · A. Hernandez 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 J. Pereira34%
2:1 J. Pereira20%
2:1 A. Hernandez19%
2:0 A. Hernandez27%

First set

Jose Pereira53%
Alex Hernandez47%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 55%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.555%45%52%
21.549%51%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,534 matches

Games handicap

J. Pereira −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Match stats

Jose PereiraAlex Hernandez
—Aces—
1Double faults1
61%First serves in45%
40%First-serve points won78%
15%Second-serve points won55%
1/2Break points converted4/6
0/4Service games held3/4
30%Service points won65%
35%Return points won70%
17Total points won36

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

J. PereiraTourA. Hernandez
Service points won62%62%58%
Return points won40%38%38%
Service games held77%76%69%
Breaks of serve27%24%23%
Aces per service game0.260.20
Double faults per game0.140.38
Sets with a tie-break8%10%
Tie-breaks won1/45/9
Wins in straight sets80%75%
Matches in the sample2136

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Jose Pereira

  • 20/10/26LMatheus Pucinelli de Almeida#196Challenger Cali · R324:6 5:7
  • 19/10/26WMateus Alves#410Challenger Cali · Q26:3 6:1
  • 18/10/26WTristan McCormick#642Challenger Cali · Q16:1 6:4
  • 06/10/26LLautaro Midon#187Challenger Antofagasta · R323:6 6:4 0:6
  • 05/10/26WMateus Alves#410Challenger Antofagasta · Q26:3 6:3
  • 04/10/26WArklon Huertas Del Pino Cordova#676Challenger Antofagasta · Q17:6 6:3
  • 29/09/26LMateus Alves#410Challenger Curitiba · R322:6 6:1 4:6
  • 28/09/26WRyan Dickerson#729Challenger Curitiba · Q26:7 7:5 6:1
  • 27/09/26WRafael Tosetto#819Challenger Curitiba · Q16:4 3:6 6:3
  • 05/05/26LLorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez#519Challenger Santos · R326:7 2:6

Alex Hernandez

  • 20/10/26LGustavo Heide#113Challenger Cali · R324:6 6:3 3:6
  • 19/10/26LFranco Ribero#685Challenger Cali · Q22:6 2:6
  • 18/10/26WMatteo Covato#705Challenger Cali · Q17:5 6:4
  • 08/09/26LGabi Adrian Boitan#464Challenger Istanbul 3 · R326:7 4:6
  • 07/09/26WTuncay Duran#545Challenger Istanbul 3 · Q26:4 1:6 6:3
  • 06/09/26WCem IlkelChallenger Istanbul 3 · Q16:2 6:4
  • 31/08/26LMarek Gengel#423Challenger Manacor · Q17:6 3:6 0:2
  • 25/08/26LPaulo Andre Saraiva Dos Santos#431Challenger Kingston 2 · R321:6 4:6
  • 20/08/26LAlan Magadan#501Challenger Cancun · R326:4 0:6 4:6
  • 02/08/26LMillen Hurrion#502Challenger Lexington · Q14:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Jose PereiraAlex Hernandez

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

J. PereiraA. Hernandez
Hard court0–08–1436%
Clay10–1148%4–1029%

Head to head

J. Pereira 0–1 A. Hernandez

  • 12/10/25Winner: A. Hernandez4:6 2:6