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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Prozorova vs Garland 2:1: result and our tips

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Tatiana ProzorovaWTA #123Elo 1781hard 1767
2:1final6:4 3:6 6:3
Joanna GarlandWTA #155Elo 1718hard 1719

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 9 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Tie-break in Match: NoWon75%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Garland: 10 matches in a row without a tie-break

Long shot
Total Games: Over 23.5Won39%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Prozorova: 9 matches in a row over 23.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tatiana Prozorova59%
Joanna Garland41%

Elo: T. Prozorova 57% · J. Garland 43%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Prozorova35%
2:1 T. Prozorova21%
2:1 J. Garland17%
2:0 J. Garland27%

First set

Tatiana Prozorova54%
Joanna Garland46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%63%32%

Sample: 2,461 matches

Games handicap

T. Prozorova −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 28 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tatiana ProzorovaJoanna Garland
5Aces1
2Double faults0
61%First serves in72%
74%First-serve points won63%
59%Second-serve points won52%
3/8Break points converted2/8
12/14Service games held11/14
68%Service points won60%
40%Return points won32%
89Total points won75

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. ProzorovaTourJ. Garland
Service points won59%56%61%
Return points won45%44%41%
Service games held67%63%72%
Breaks of serve42%37%30%
Aces per service game0.190.33
Double faults per game0.220.34
Sets with a tie-break7%11%
Tie-breaks won2/64/7
Wins in straight sets61%65%
Matches in the sample3728

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tatiana Prozorova

Joanna Garland

Elo over the last year

Tatiana ProzorovaJoanna Garland

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. ProzorovaJ. Garland
Hard court19–1066%15–768%
Clay1–233%0–10%
Grass3–260%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Tatiana Prozorova

Joanna Garland

See also