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Challenger GuayaquilChallenger 75Qualifying round 2claybest of three setsqualifying

Ratti vs Del Pino 1:2: result and our tips

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Lucio RattiATP #369Elo 1506clay 1505
1:2final5:7 6:2 5:7
Mateo Del PinoElo 1274clay 1284

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lucio Ratti95%
Mateo Del Pino5%

Elo: L. Ratti 78% · M. Del Pino 22%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Ratti83%
2:1 L. Ratti12%
2:1 M. Del Pino3%
2:0 M. Del Pino2%

First set

Lucio Ratti91%
Mateo Del Pino10%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes15%
no85%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 17.5 · 64%market (no margin): 54%

The 17.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 17.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
12.590%10%>99%
13.580%20%98%
14.567%33%96%
15.555%45%91%
16.543%57%84%
17.536%64%76%
18.529%71%68%

Sample: 1,208 matches

Games handicap

L. Ratti −7.544%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes7%

tour average 27%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 17.5out · 32 games
  • Games handicapnot covered

Match stats

Lucio RattiMateo Del Pino
1Aces0
8Double faults6
56%First serves in60%
57%First-serve points won53%
35%Second-serve points won39%
9/18Break points converted9/14
7/16Service games held7/16
47%Service points won48%
52%Return points won53%
97Total points won97

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. RattiTourM. Del Pino
Service points won61%62%54%
Return points won42%38%41%
Service games held72%76%59%
Breaks of serve32%24%29%
Aces per service game0.230.18
Double faults per game0.290.28
Sets with a tie-break10%10%
Tie-breaks won4/101/2
Wins in straight sets67%0%
Matches in the sample419

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lucio Ratti

Mateo Del Pino

Elo over the last year

Lucio RattiMateo Del Pino

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. RattiM. Del Pino
Hard court3–350%0–0
Clay18–1751%2–722%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Lucio Ratti

Mateo Del Pino