Challenger CaliChallenger 75Round of 16claybest of three sets

Rodriguez Taverna vs Bueno: prediction and tips

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Santiago Rodriguez TavernaATP #443Elo 1596clay 1600
-:-awaiting result
Gonzalo BuenoATP #199Elo 1714clay 1723

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna33%
Gonzalo Bueno67%

Elo: S. Rodriguez Taverna 33% · G. Bueno 67%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 S. Rodriguez Taverna18%
2:1 S. Rodriguez Taverna15%
2:1 G. Bueno23%
2:0 G. Bueno44%

First set

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna37%
Gonzalo Bueno63%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%68%
19.560%40%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.547%53%47%
22.542%59%40%
23.538%62%36%
24.535%65%34%

Sample: 4,392 matches

Games handicap

Gonzalo Bueno −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes24%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

S. Rodriguez TavernaTourG. Bueno
Service points won61%62%57%
Return points won38%38%42%
Service games held74%76%67%
Breaks of serve23%24%32%
Aces per service game0.370.13
Double faults per game0.230.29
Sets with a tie-break20%8%
Tie-breaks won13/218/13
Wins in straight sets43%61%
Matches in the sample4468

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

  • 20/10/26WRodrigo Pacheco Mendez#263Challenger Cali · R327:6 6:7 7:6
  • 19/10/26WSergio Luis Hernandez RamirezChallenger Cali · Q26:4 6:2
  • 18/10/26WFelipe de DiosChallenger Cali · Q16:1 6:1
  • 12/10/26LMaximo Zeitune#509Challenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q21:6 4:6
  • 11/10/26WNicolas CiancagliniChallenger Santa Cruz 2 · Q16:2 6:1
  • 22/09/26LPedro Boscardin Dias#282Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · R323:6 1:6
  • 21/09/26WFermin Tenti#865Challenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q26:1 7:5
  • 20/09/26WNicolas BrunaChallenger Buenos Aires 2 · Q16:4 4:6 6:2
  • 14/09/26LRobert Strombachs#346Challenger Szczecin · Q20:6 2:6
  • 13/09/26WOscar Jose Gutierrez#701Challenger Szczecin · Q16:2 7:6

Gonzalo Bueno

Elo over the last year

Santiago Rodriguez TavernaGonzalo Bueno

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

S. Rodriguez TavernaG. Bueno
Hard court0–03–350%
Clay21–2348%35–2657%
Grass0–00–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Santiago Rodriguez Taverna

Gonzalo Bueno