Challenger FlorenceChallenger 50Round of 16claybest of three sets

Romano vs Milev: prediction and tips

·

Filippo RomanoATP #301Elo 1596clay 1527
-:-
Yanaki MilevATP #535Elo 1757clay 1752

Our tips

Tip in 6h 40m

For matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.

Winner

Filippo Romano51%
Yanaki Milev49%

Elo: F. Romano 22% · Y. Milev 79%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Romano31%
2:1 F. Romano20%
2:1 Y. Milev19%
2:0 Y. Milev30%

First set

Filippo Romano51%
Yanaki Milev50%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.554%46%52%
21.548%52%47%
22.543%57%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,338 matches

Games handicap

Filippo Romano −0.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes26%

tour average 27%

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. RomanoTourY. Milev
Service points won62%62%59%
Return points won38%38%42%
Service games held78%76%73%
Breaks of serve23%24%32%
Aces per service game0.460.23
Double faults per game0.210.31
Sets with a tie-break17%10%
Tie-breaks won11/213/6
Wins in straight sets60%56%
Matches in the sample5324

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Filippo Romano

Yanaki Milev

Elo over the last year

Filippo RomanoYanaki Milev

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. RomanoY. Milev
Hard court11–473%0–0
Clay10–1442%16–867%
Grass9–564%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Filippo Romano

Yanaki Milev