Challenger Sioux FallsChallenger 125Round of 16hard, indoorbest of three sets
Rottgering vs Bigun: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1h 28mFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Mees Rottgering80%
Kaylan Bigun20%
Elo: M. Rottgering 85% · K. Bigun 15%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
2:0 M. Rottgering59%
2:1 M. Rottgering21%
2:1 K. Bigun9%
2:0 K. Bigun11%
First set
Mees Rottgering74%
Kaylan Bigun26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes31%
no70%
Total games
The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 58%market (no margin): 51%
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.9
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 26% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 57% | 43% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 48% | 52% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 42% | 58% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 36% | 64% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 32% | 68% | 37% |
Sample: 2,994 matches
Games handicap
M. Rottgering −4.551%
Tie-break in the match
Tie-break: yes26%
tour average 32%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Rottgering | Tour | K. Bigun | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 60% |
| Return points won | 41% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 79% | 76% | 73% |
| Breaks of serve | 28% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.42 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.31 | 0.35 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 10% | 10% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/6 | 3/6 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 83% | 70% | |
| Matches in the sample | 29 | 27 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Mees Rottgering
- 27/10/26WAlexis Galarneau#192Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 6:4
- 23/10/26LDarwin Blanch#144Challenger Fort Worth · QF3:6 4:6
- 21/10/26WCosme Rolland de Ravel#581Challenger Fort Worth · R167:5 7:6
- 19/10/26WMax Hans Rehberg#264Challenger Fort Worth · R326:2 6:1
- 02/10/26LAndres Andrade#224Challenger Columbus · QF3:6 6:7
- 30/09/26WBraden Shick#205Challenger Columbus · R166:1 6:4
- 28/09/26WEdward Winter#406Challenger Columbus · R327:5 6:3
- 22/09/26LNishesh Basavareddy#131Challenger San Diego 2 · R323:6 3:6
- 26/08/26LArthur Fery#35ATP Winston Salem · R163:6 3:6
- 25/08/26WTomáš Macháč#71ATP Winston Salem · R326:2 7:6
Kaylan Bigun
- 27/10/26WAndres Martin#354Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 6:4
- 22/10/26LAidan Mayo#321Challenger Fort Worth · R166:1 0:6 5:7
- 20/10/26WTrevor Svajda#477Challenger Fort Worth · R326:3 6:3
- 19/10/26WPatrick Zahraj#523Challenger Fort Worth · Q26:3 6:2
- 18/10/26WAndrew Fenty#486Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:3 1:6 6:3
- 29/09/26LKeegan Smith#185Challenger Columbus · R326:4 6:7 2:6
- 28/09/26WAlafia Ayeni#437Challenger Columbus · Q26:3 6:2
- 27/09/26WNoah Zamora#758Challenger Columbus · Q16:3 6:4
- 20/09/26LAndrew Fenty#486Challenger San Diego 2 · Q15:7 4:6
- 13/09/26LBryce Nakashima#576Challenger Tiburon · Q15:7 0:6
Elo over the last year
Mees RottgeringKaylan Bigun
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Rottgering | K. Bigun | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 17–965% | 9–1439% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 1–325% |
| Grass | 1–233% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Mees Rottgering
- 27/10/26WAlexis Galarneau#192Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 6:4
Kaylan Bigun
- 27/10/26WAndres Martin#354Challenger Sioux Falls · R326:3 6:4