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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Ruzic vs Liu 1:2: result and our tips

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Antonia RuzicWTA #84Elo 1722hard 1701
1:2final6:4 6:7(5) 4:6
Claire LiuWTA #109Elo 1753hard 1727

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 18.5Won69%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ruzic: 12 matches in a row over 18.5 games

Other tips

  • Total Sets: Under 2.5Lost62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Liu: 7 matches in a row without a deciding set

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Won32%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Ruzic: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Antonia Ruzic47%
Claire Liu53%

Elo: A. Ruzic 46% · C. Liu 54%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Ruzic30%
2:1 A. Ruzic18%
2:1 C. Liu19%
2:0 C. Liu32%

First set

Antonia Ruzic49%
Claire Liu51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,360 matches

Games handicap

C. Liu −0.551%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorewas 1:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 33 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Antonia RuzicClaire Liu
4Aces9
2Double faults3
54%First serves in67%
57%First-serve points won66%
61%Second-serve points won51%
5/13Break points converted5/11
11/16Service games held11/16
59%Service points won61%
39%Return points won41%
104Total points won108

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. RuzicTourC. Liu
Service points won55%56%58%
Return points won43%44%46%
Service games held63%63%68%
Breaks of serve35%37%41%
Aces per service game0.150.27
Double faults per game0.280.28
Sets with a tie-break5%8%
Tie-breaks won1/72/8
Wins in straight sets46%73%
Matches in the sample5844

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Antonia Ruzic

Claire Liu

Elo over the last year

Antonia RuzicClaire Liu

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. RuzicC. Liu
Hard court20–2050%14–1156%
Clay3–633%7–558%
Grass5–456%5–271%

Head to head

They have not met yet.