Sakamoto vs Samrej 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: market alone 69% → with the players' profiles 74%
Over 17.5 games in recent matches: Sakamoto 18 of 20, Samrej 17 of 20 (tour average 79%)
Where the number comes from: market alone 30% → with the players' profiles 34%
Over 22.5 games in recent matches: Sakamoto 10 of 20, Samrej 11 of 20 (tour average 42%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: R. Sakamoto 80% · K. Samrej 21%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 74% | 26% | 79% |
| 18.5 | 64% | 36% | 71% |
| 19.5 | 55% | 45% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 46% | 54% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 40% | 60% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 28% | 72% | 37% |
Sample: 1,774 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 21.0in · 19 games
- Games handicapnot covered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Rei Sakamoto | Kasidit Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 1 |
| 1 | Double faults | 3 |
| 70% | First serves in | 60% |
| 77% | First-serve points won | 69% |
| 88% | Second-serve points won | 48% |
| 2/5 | Break points converted | 0/2 |
| 10/10 | Service games held | 7/9 |
| 80% | Service points won | 60% |
| 40% | Return points won | 20% |
| 66 | Total points won | 43 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| R. Sakamoto | Tour | K. Samrej | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 66% | 62% | 63% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 38% |
| Service games held | 84% | 76% | 79% |
| Breaks of serve | 21% | 24% | 22% |
| Aces per service game | 0.68 | 0.51 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.19 | 0.37 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 23% | 17% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 19/42 | 8/14 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 62% | 50% | |
| Matches in the sample | 74 | 36 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Rei Sakamoto
- 20/10/26LKaren Khachanov#24ATP Almaty · R322:6 4:6
- 18/10/26WGabriel Diallo#149ATP Almaty · Q22:6 6:4 6:4
- 17/10/26WAmir Omarkhanov#622ATP Almaty · Q16:2 6:1
- 11/10/26LAlex de Minaur#10ATP Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
- 09/10/26WAndrey Rublev#22ATP Shanghai · R646:4 6:4
- 07/10/26WMarco Trungelliti#89ATP Shanghai · R1286:3 7:5
- 06/10/26WKyrian Jacquet#79ATP Shanghai · Q27:6 4:6 7:6
- 05/10/26WSeongchan HongATP Shanghai · Q16:3 7:5
- 30/09/26LMatteo Arnaldi#36ATP Tokyo · R326:2 4:6 4:6
- 08/09/26LJi Sung Nam#821Challenger Shanghai · R326:7 4:6
Kasidit Samrej
- 21/10/26LColeman Wong#87Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R166:4 3:6 4:6
- 20/10/26WRio Noguchi#214Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · R322:6 6:1 7:6
- 19/10/26LYaroslav Demin#596Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q24:6 2:6
- 18/10/26WNaoya Honda#637Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q14:6 6:3 7:5
- 08/10/26LFajing Sun#292Challenger Wuning 3 · R164:6 5:7
- 06/10/26WEnzo Aguiard#438Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:1 6:3
- 09/09/26LYuta Shimizu#404Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R164:6 4:6
- 08/09/26WSidharth Rawat#656Challenger Phan Thiet 3 · R326:2 6:7 6:2
- 06/09/26LIlia Simakin#146Challenger Zhangjiagang · F3:6 1:6
- 05/09/26WChun Hsin Tseng#216Challenger Zhangjiagang · SF6:3 7:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| R. Sakamoto | K. Samrej | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 36–1965% | 20–1656% |
| Clay | 9–660% | 0–0 |
| Grass | 2–250% | 0–0 |
Head to head
R. Sakamoto 1–0 K. Samrej
- 18/11/25Winner: R. Sakamoto6:4 7:6