WTA WuhanWTA 1000Round of 64hardbest of three sets

Snigur vs Mertens 2:0: result and our tips

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Daria SnigurWTA #42Elo 1913hard 1892
2:0final6:4 7:5
Elise MertensWTA #14Elo 1987hard 1945

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Won61%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Snigur 10 of 20, Mertens 16 of 20 (tour average 55%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Daria Snigur34%
Elise Mertens66%

Elo: D. Snigur 43% · E. Mertens 57%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Snigur20%
2:1 D. Snigur15%
2:1 E. Mertens22%
2:0 E. Mertens43%

First set

Daria Snigur38%
Elise Mertens62%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes37%
no63%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 20.5 · 53%market (no margin): 51%

The 20.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.4

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%64%
19.561%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.541%59%38%
23.537%63%34%
24.535%65%32%

Sample: 2,164 matches

Games handicap

Elise Mertens −3.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:0
  • Total games Over 20.5in · 22 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Daria SnigurElise Mertens
0Aces6
5Double faults3
61%First serves in55%
74%First-serve points won62%
38%Second-serve points won42%
5/8Break points converted3/7
8/11Service games held6/11
60%Service points won54%
46%Return points won40%
82Total points won73

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. SnigurTourE. Mertens
Service points won57%56%60%
Return points won48%44%44%
Service games held68%63%72%
Breaks of serve44%37%35%
Aces per service game0.140.40
Double faults per game0.250.40
Sets with a tie-break9%6%
Tie-breaks won6/105/7
Wins in straight sets74%74%
Matches in the sample4851

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Daria Snigur

Elise Mertens

Elo over the last year

Daria SnigurElise Mertens

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. SnigurE. Mertens
Hard court23–874%19–1261%
Clay5–363%5–456%
Grass6–367%7–464%

Head to head

They have not met yet.