Zheng vs Mertens 2:0: result and our tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Zheng: 10 matches in a row over 19.5 games; Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Zheng 15 of 20, Mertens 15 of 20 (tour average 55%)
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Zheng: 5 matches in a row over 21.5 games; Over 21.5 games in recent matches: Zheng 12 of 20, Mertens 10 of 20 (tour average 44%)
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: Q. Zheng 63% · E. Mertens 37%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.6
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18.5 | 69% | 31% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 61% | 39% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 49% | 51% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 43% | 57% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 39% | 61% | 34% |
| 24.5 | 37% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 2,382 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite won
- Most likely set scorehit 2:0
- Total games Under 22.5in · 20 games
- Games handicapcovered
- Tie-breakno tie-break
Match stats
| Qinwen Zheng | Elise Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 0 |
| 2 | Double faults | 2 |
| 47% | First serves in | 77% |
| 89% | First-serve points won | 59% |
| 59% | Second-serve points won | 33% |
| 4/6 | Break points converted | 1/2 |
| 9/10 | Service games held | 6/10 |
| 73% | Service points won | 53% |
| 47% | Return points won | 27% |
| 70 | Total points won | 49 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| Q. Zheng | Tour | E. Mertens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 56% | 60% |
| Return points won | 40% | 44% | 44% |
| Service games held | 76% | 63% | 72% |
| Breaks of serve | 27% | 37% | 36% |
| Aces per service game | 0.66 | 0.40 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.40 | 0.41 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 6% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 7/10 | 5/7 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 35% | 74% | |
| Matches in the sample | 37 | 50 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Qinwen Zheng
- 09/10/26WElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · QF6:3 7:6
- 07/10/26WAlina Charaeva#98WTA Beijing · R166:1 2:6 6:4
- 05/10/26WMarie Bouzková#28WTA Beijing · R327:6 4:6 7:5
- 03/10/26WAnna Kalinskaya#21WTA Beijing · R646:7 6:4 3:0
- 01/10/26WHan Shi#217WTA Beijing · R1287:6 4:6 6:2
- 09/09/26LElena Rybakina#1WTA US Open · QF6:3 1:6 4:6
- 07/09/26WIga Świątek#9WTA US Open · R167:5 6:3
- 05/09/26WMadison Keys#20WTA US Open · R321:6 7:6 7:5
- 03/09/26WYulia Putintseva#79WTA US Open · R646:4 2:6 6:1
- 31/08/26WKristina Liutova#116WTA US Open · R1284:6 6:3 6:1
Elise Mertens
- 09/10/26WIga Świątek#9WTA Beijing · QF7:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WCoco Gauff#5WTA Beijing · R166:3 6:3
- 05/10/26WJeļena Ostapenko#34WTA Beijing · R326:2 3:6 6:3
- 03/10/26WKatie Volynets#88WTA Beijing · R646:0 4:6 7:5
- 25/09/26LMaja Chwalińska#22WTA Singapore · QF2:6 2:6
- 05/09/26LNaomi Osaka#18WTA US Open · R323:6 6:3 5:7
- 03/09/26WMaria Timofeeva#63WTA US Open · R646:2 7:6
- 01/09/26WKaitlin Quevedo#76WTA US Open · R1286:4 6:4
- 29/08/26LDiane Parry#32WTA Monterrey · F4:6 6:0 3:6
- 29/08/26WNikola Bartunkova#29WTA Monterrey · SF1:6 6:4 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| Q. Zheng | E. Mertens | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 18–772% | 19–1163% |
| Clay | 3–350% | 5–456% |
| Grass | 2–433% | 7–464% |
Head to head
Q. Zheng 1–0 E. Mertens
- 03/04/25Winner: Qinwen Zheng6:3 3:6 6:3
Road through the tournament
Qinwen Zheng
- 01/10/26WHan Shi#217WTA Beijing · R1287:6 4:6 6:2
- 03/10/26WAnna Kalinskaya#21WTA Beijing · R646:7 6:4 3:0
- 05/10/26WMarie Bouzková#28WTA Beijing · R327:6 4:6 7:5
- 07/10/26WAlina Charaeva#98WTA Beijing · R166:1 2:6 6:4
- 09/10/26WElina Svitolina#6WTA Beijing · QF6:3 7:6
Elise Mertens
- 03/10/26WKatie Volynets#88WTA Beijing · R646:0 4:6 7:5
- 05/10/26WJeļena Ostapenko#34WTA Beijing · R326:2 3:6 6:3
- 07/10/26WCoco Gauff#5WTA Beijing · R166:3 6:3
- 09/10/26WIga Świątek#9WTA Beijing · QF7:6 6:3