WTA 125 SuzhouSemifinalhardbest of three sets

Sramkova vs Zarazua 2:0: result and our tips

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Rebecca SramkovaWTA #134Elo 1711hard 1702
2:0final7:5 6:3
Renata ZarazuaWTA #85Elo 1698hard 1687

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Under 24.5Won64%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Under 24.5 games in recent matches: Sramkova 14 of 20, Zarazua 18 of 20 (tour average 69%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost47%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zarazua: 3 matches in a row under 20.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Rebecca Sramkova54%
Renata Zarazua46%

Elo: R. Sramkova 52% · R. Zarazua 48%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 R. Sramkova35%
2:1 R. Sramkova19%
2:1 R. Zarazua20%
2:0 R. Zarazua26%

First set

Rebecca Sramkova55%
Renata Zarazua45%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.568%32%60%
19.560%40%53%
20.553%47%46%
21.549%51%41%
22.543%57%37%
23.538%62%33%
24.536%64%31%

Sample: 2,274 matches

Games handicap

Rebecca Sramkova −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes23%

tour average 21%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 21.5in · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Rebecca SramkovaRenata Zarazua
8Aces1
0Double faults1
68%First serves in69%
73%First-serve points won65%
63%Second-serve points won53%
3/4Break points converted1/1
10/11Service games held7/10
70%Service points won61%
39%Return points won31%
62Total points won51

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

R. SramkovaTourR. Zarazua
Service points won57%56%56%
Return points won44%44%43%
Service games held68%63%63%
Breaks of serve35%37%35%
Aces per service game0.370.06
Double faults per game0.270.15
Sets with a tie-break5%8%
Tie-breaks won2/65/9
Wins in straight sets72%60%
Matches in the sample4953

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Rebecca Sramkova

Renata Zarazua

Elo over the last year

Rebecca SramkovaRenata Zarazua

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

R. SramkovaR. Zarazua
Hard court18–1751%20–1853%
Clay6–650%2–529%
Grass1–150%3–538%

Head to head

R. Sramkova 1–0 R. Zarazua

  • 12/01/21Winner: Rebecca Sramkova6:4 4:6 6:3

Road through the tournament

Rebecca Sramkova

Renata Zarazua

See also