Challenger JinanChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sun vs Cui 0:2: result and our tips

·

Fajing SunATP #303Elo 1629hard 1625
0:2final3:6 5:7
Jie CuiATP #420Elo 1580hard 1568

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Fajing Sun47%
Jie Cui54%

Elo: F. Sun 58% · J. Cui 42%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Sun28%
2:1 F. Sun18%
2:1 J. Cui20%
2:0 J. Cui34%

First set

Fajing Sun47%
Jie Cui53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.8

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%29%62%
20.563%37%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.550%50%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.541%59%35%
25.538%63%32%

Sample: 5,324 matches

Games handicap

Jie Cui −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes40%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Over 22.0out · 21 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Fajing SunJie Cui
4Aces4
2Double faults3
72%First serves in67%
65%First-serve points won69%
41%Second-serve points won54%
1/4Break points converted3/6
7/10Service games held10/11
58%Service points won64%
36%Return points won42%
61Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. SunTourJ. Cui
Service points won64%62%63%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held78%76%78%
Breaks of serve24%24%23%
Aces per service game0.320.36
Double faults per game0.150.18
Sets with a tie-break16%24%
Tie-breaks won8/228/18
Wins in straight sets61%79%
Matches in the sample6032

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Fajing Sun

Jie Cui

Elo over the last year

Fajing SunJie Cui

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. SunJ. Cui
Hard court28–2553%14–1745%
Clay3–350%0–10%
Grass0–10%0–0

Head to head

F. Sun 0–1 J. Cui

  • 08/09/26Winner: Jie Cui5:7 4:6