Svitolina vs Samsonova: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Samsonova: 15 matches in a row over 18.5 games; Over 18.5 games in recent matches: Svitolina 15 of 20, Samsonova 18 of 20 (tour average 63%)
Other tips
- Match Winner: Svitolina73%
Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 73%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Svitolina won 7 of the last 10 matches
Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data
Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Svitolina 8 of 20, Samsonova 14 of 20 (tour average 32%); Samsonova: 3 matches in a row over 24.5 games
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: E. Svitolina 76% · L. Samsonova 25%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 22.1
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17.5 | 75% | 25% | 72% |
| 18.5 | 66% | 34% | 64% |
| 19.5 | 58% | 42% | 56% |
| 20.5 | 51% | 49% | 49% |
| 21.5 | 45% | 55% | 44% |
| 22.5 | 39% | 61% | 38% |
| 23.5 | 35% | 65% | 34% |
Sample: 1,781 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 22%
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| E. Svitolina | Tour | L. Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 59% | 56% | 57% |
| Return points won | 46% | 44% | 42% |
| Service games held | 72% | 63% | 69% |
| Breaks of serve | 42% | 37% | 33% |
| Aces per service game | 0.31 | 0.25 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.30 | 0.43 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 11% | 11% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 10/16 | 5/12 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 56% | 64% | |
| Matches in the sample | 60 | 46 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Elina Svitolina
- 09/10/26LQinwen Zheng#23WTA Beijing · QF3:6 6:7
- 07/10/26WAnn Li#31WTA Beijing · R166:2 6:3
- 05/10/26WMaria Sakkari#35WTA Beijing · R326:4 7:5
- 03/10/26WKateřina Siniaková#87WTA Beijing · R641:6 6:4 6:2
- 05/09/26LAnna Kalinskaya#21WTA US Open · R323:6 6:2 3:6
- 03/09/26WMaya Joint#92WTA US Open · R646:2 6:7 6:4
- 30/08/26WSolana Sierra#101WTA US Open · R1286:1 6:2
- 17/08/26WTereza Valentova#62WTA Cincinnati · R643:6 7:6 6:0
- 13/08/26LIga Świątek#9WTA Toronto · SF3:6 6:1 3:6
- 11/08/26WEkaterina Alexandrova#24WTA Toronto · QF3:6 6:0 6:3
Liudmila Samsonova
- 13/10/26WKateřina Siniaková#87WTA Wuhan · R646:1 5:7 6:2
- 04/10/26LKarolína Muchová#7WTA Beijing · R326:4 4:6 2:6
- 02/10/26WLinda Fruhvirtova#157WTA Beijing · R646:2 3:6 6:3
- 19/09/26LPeyton Stearns#37WTA Guadalajara · SF6:7 2:6
- 17/09/26WMarta Kostyuk#10WTA Guadalajara · QF4:6 6:2 7:5
- 17/09/26WKayla Day#119WTA Guadalajara · R167:6 2:6 7:6
- 15/09/26WElsa Jacquemot#158WTA Guadalajara · R327:6 6:2
- 31/08/26LMaya Joint#92WTA US Open · R1286:3 2:6 2:6
- 16/08/26LCoco Gauff#5WTA Cincinnati · R646:2 4:6 1:6
- 14/08/26WYulia Putintseva#79WTA Cincinnati · R1287:6 5:7 7:5
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| E. Svitolina | L. Samsonova | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 31–978% | 16–1552% |
| Clay | 12–380% | 3–538% |
| Grass | 3–260% | 3–443% |
Head to head
E. Svitolina 1–0 L. Samsonova
- 23/06/26Winner: Elina Svitolina3:6 6:3 6:2
Road through the tournament
Elina Svitolina
First match in this tournament.
Liudmila Samsonova
- 13/10/26WKateřina Siniaková#87WTA Wuhan · R646:1 5:7 6:2