Challenger JinanChallenger 175Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Sweeny vs Tomic 0:0: result and our tips

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Dane SweenyATP #112Elo 1684hard 1651
0:0retired2:2
Bernard TomicATP #185Elo 1750hard 1742

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dane Sweeny49%
Bernard Tomic51%

Elo: D. Sweeny 37% · B. Tomic 63%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Sweeny30%
2:1 D. Sweeny19%
2:1 B. Tomic19%
2:0 B. Tomic32%

First set

Dane Sweeny49%
Bernard Tomic51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 53%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.569%31%62%
20.560%40%54%
21.555%45%49%
22.548%53%42%
23.542%58%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%64%32%

Sample: 5,120 matches

Games handicap

Bernard Tomic −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes37%

tour average 32%

Match stats

Dane SweenyBernard Tomic
0Aces3
—Double faults—
67%First serves in81%
75%First-serve points won62%
75%Second-serve points won67%
0/1Break points converted0/0
2/2Service games held2/2
75%Service points won63%
38%Return points won25%
15Total points won13

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. SweenyTourB. Tomic
Service points won61%62%64%
Return points won40%38%37%
Service games held75%76%79%
Breaks of serve27%24%24%
Aces per service game0.260.47
Double faults per game0.280.13
Sets with a tie-break19%18%
Tie-breaks won19/3212/28
Wins in straight sets53%56%
Matches in the sample6765

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dane Sweeny

Bernard Tomic

Elo over the last year

Dane SweenyBernard Tomic

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. SweenyB. Tomic
Hard court32–2457%31–2258%
Clay0–20%2–340%
Grass6–367%3–443%

Head to head

D. Sweeny 1–0 B. Tomic

  • 14/11/25Winner: Dane Sweeny5:7 6:3 6:2