Challenger LisbonChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Taberner vs Ritschard 0:2: result and our tips

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Carlos TabernerATP #447Elo 1730clay 1743
0:2final1:6 5:7
Alexander RitschardATP #483Elo 1714clay 1736

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
1st Set Winner: RitschardWon60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Taberner lost the first set in 12 of the last 20 matches, Ritschard won the first set in 9 of the last 14 matches (tour average 50%)

Other tips

  • Match Winner: RitschardWon62%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 62%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ritschard won 7 of the last 10 matches

  • Total Games: Under 22.5Won56%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Ritschard: 5 matches in a row under 22.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Carlos Taberner38%
Alexander Ritschard62%

Elo: C. Taberner 51% · A. Ritschard 49%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 C. Taberner21%
2:1 C. Taberner16%
2:1 A. Ritschard22%
2:0 A. Ritschard41%

First set

Carlos Taberner40%
Alexander Ritschard60%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 50%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.571%29%68%
19.562%38%59%
20.556%44%52%
21.550%50%46%
22.544%56%40%
23.540%60%36%
24.537%63%34%

Sample: 4,800 matches

Games handicap

Alexander Ritschard −2.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes27%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0in · 19 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Carlos TabernerAlexander Ritschard
3Aces3
2Double faults2
71%First serves in81%
56%First-serve points won79%
47%Second-serve points won44%
1/1Break points converted5/9
5/10Service games held8/9
53%Service points won72%
28%Return points won47%
44Total points won61

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

C. TabernerTourA. Ritschard
Service points won60%62%65%
Return points won41%38%41%
Service games held72%76%81%
Breaks of serve30%24%31%
Aces per service game0.200.33
Double faults per game0.340.33
Sets with a tie-break11%18%
Tie-breaks won2/83/6
Wins in straight sets53%60%
Matches in the sample3014

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Carlos Taberner

Alexander Ritschard

Elo over the last year

Carlos TabernerAlexander Ritschard

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

C. TabernerA. Ritschard
Hard court0–30%5–271%
Clay15–1256%5–271%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Carlos Taberner

Alexander Ritschard