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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Tagger vs Williams 2:0: result and our tips

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Lilli TaggerWTA #53Elo 1831hard 1826
2:0final6:2 6:2
Venus WilliamsWTA #599Elo 1609hard 1598

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 15.5Won72%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Tagger: 17 matches in a row over 15.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Lilli Tagger95%
Venus Williams5%

Elo: L. Tagger 79% · V. Williams 21%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 L. Tagger79%
2:1 L. Tagger14%
2:1 V. Williams3%
2:0 V. Williams4%

First set

Lilli Tagger87%
Venus Williams13%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes17%
no83%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 18.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 18.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 18.9

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
14.584%17%95%
15.572%28%89%
16.562%38%82%
17.551%49%72%
18.540%60%63%
19.533%67%55%
20.527%73%49%

Sample: 685 matches

Games handicap

L. Tagger −6.553%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes14%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 18.0in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Lilli TaggerVenus Williams
7Aces4
1Double faults0
63%First serves in63%
100%First-serve points won60%
53%Second-serve points won42%
4/16Break points converted0/0
8/8Service games held4/8
83%Service points won53%
47%Return points won18%
63Total points won41

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

L. TaggerTourV. Williams
Service points won60%56%54%
Return points won43%44%39%
Service games held72%63%60%
Breaks of serve33%37%22%
Aces per service game0.380.26
Double faults per game0.260.41
Sets with a tie-break12%14%
Tie-breaks won7/152/4
Wins in straight sets74%—
Matches in the sample5312

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Lilli Tagger

Venus Williams

Elo over the last year

Lilli TaggerVenus Williams

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

L. TaggerV. Williams
Hard court25–1366%0–100%
Clay6–746%0–10%
Grass0–20%0–10%

Head to head

They have not met yet.