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ATP Basel500Round of 32hard, indoorbest of three sets

Vacherot vs Navone 2:0: result and our tips

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Valentin VacherotATP #31Elo 1998hard 1960
2:0final6:3 7:6(4)
Mariano NavoneATP #43Elo 1947hard 1881

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 20.5Won65%

Where the number comes from: market alone 62% → with the players' profiles 65%

Navone: 5 matches in a row over 20.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 24.5Lost41%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Over 24.5 games in recent matches: Vacherot 13 of 20, Navone 7 of 20 (tour average 38%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Valentin Vacherot65%
Mariano Navone35%

Elo: V. Vacherot 61% · M. Navone 39%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 V. Vacherot41%
2:1 V. Vacherot22%
2:1 M. Navone16%
2:0 M. Navone21%

First set

Valentin Vacherot60%
Mariano Navone40%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 23.0 · 49%market (no margin): 52%

The 23.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 24.2

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.573%27%68%
20.565%35%60%
21.559%41%54%
22.552%49%46%
23.544%56%40%
24.541%60%38%
25.538%62%35%

Sample: 5,590 matches

Games handicap

V. Vacherot −2.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes45%

tour average 39%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 2:0
  • Total games Under 23.0in · 22 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Valentin VacherotMariano Navone
12Aces1
4Double faults3
66%First serves in65%
85%First-serve points won62%
42%Second-serve points won62%
2/13Break points converted1/7
10/11Service games held8/10
70%Service points won62%
38%Return points won30%
81Total points won72

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

V. VacherotTourM. Navone
Service points won67%62%62%
Return points won34%38%41%
Service games held84%76%76%
Breaks of serve18%24%29%
Aces per service game0.730.16
Double faults per game0.260.18
Sets with a tie-break19%14%
Tie-breaks won12/2112/22
Wins in straight sets52%64%
Matches in the sample4263

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Valentin Vacherot

Mariano Navone

Elo over the last year

Valentin VacherotMariano Navone

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

V. VacherotM. Navone
Hard court17–1553%12–1250%
Clay6–460%24–1365%
Grass0–00–20%

Head to head

V. Vacherot 1–1 M. Navone

  • 05/08/26Winner: M. Navone6:1 3:6 3:6
  • 21/03/26Winner: V. Vacherot6:3 6:4