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WTA TokyoWTA 500Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Valentova vs Pohankova 0:2: result and our tips

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Tereza ValentovaWTA #87Elo 1879hard 1869
0:2final1:6 4:6
Mia PohankovaWTA #144Elo 1783hard 1781

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost60%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Valentova: 5 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Other tips

  • Match Winner: ValentovaLost67%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market (bookmakers 67%); the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Valentova won 7 of the last 10 matches

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Tereza Valentova67%
Mia Pohankova33%

Elo: T. Valentova 62% · M. Pohankova 38%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 T. Valentova44%
2:1 T. Valentova21%
2:1 M. Pohankova15%
2:0 M. Pohankova19%

First set

Tereza Valentova63%
Mia Pohankova37%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes36%
no64%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 21.0 · 47%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.3

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.577%23%72%
18.568%32%64%
19.560%40%56%
20.553%47%49%
21.547%53%44%
22.541%59%38%
23.537%63%34%

Sample: 2,140 matches

Games handicap

T. Valentova −3.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 21.0in · 17 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Tereza ValentovaMia Pohankova
2Aces3
5Double faults0
55%First serves in56%
63%First-serve points won72%
25%Second-serve points won65%
1/2Break points converted4/4
4/8Service games held8/9
46%Service points won69%
31%Return points won55%
36Total points won60

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

T. ValentovaTourM. Pohankova
Service points won56%56%57%
Return points won46%44%44%
Service games held65%63%68%
Breaks of serve41%37%35%
Aces per service game0.230.38
Double faults per game0.390.28
Sets with a tie-break12%12%
Tie-breaks won7/144/6
Wins in straight sets62%85%
Matches in the sample4923

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Tereza Valentova

Mia Pohankova

Elo over the last year

Tereza ValentovaMia Pohankova

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

T. ValentovaM. Pohankova
Hard court22–1363%11–569%
Clay5–456%0–20%
Grass2–340%2–340%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Tereza Valentova

Mia Pohankova

First match in this tournament.