Wehnelt vs Karol 2:1: result and our tips
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Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: K. Wehnelt 49% · M. Karol 51%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 54% | 46% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 48% | 52% | 40% |
| 23.5 | 43% | 57% | 36% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 34% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 30% |
Sample: 4,832 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 2:1
- Total games Under 22.5out · 26 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Kai Wehnelt | Milos Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Aces | 8 |
| 6 | Double faults | 4 |
| 57% | First serves in | 60% |
| 80% | First-serve points won | 83% |
| 51% | Second-serve points won | 36% |
| 3/3 | Break points converted | 1/10 |
| 12/13 | Service games held | 10/13 |
| 67% | Service points won | 64% |
| 36% | Return points won | 33% |
| 83 | Total points won | 73 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| K. Wehnelt | Tour | M. Karol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 26% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.46 | 0.87 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.29 | 0.37 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 18% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 4/11 | 8/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 64% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 26 | 35 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Kai Wehnelt
- 13/10/26LGianluca Cadenasso#183Challenger Catania · R327:6 3:6 4:6
- 12/10/26WAlex Marti Pujolras#484Challenger Catania · Q26:3 6:4
- 11/10/26WLorenzo Angelini#552Challenger Catania · Q16:2 6:0
- 27/09/26LPierluigi Basile#514Challenger Bari · Q17:5 4:6 6:7
- 20/09/26LLuca Wiedenmann#532Challenger Plovdiv 4 · Q14:6 0:4
- 15/09/26LKilian Feldbausch#261Challenger Szczecin · R322:6 2:6
- 14/09/26WMichael Vrbensky#668Challenger Szczecin · Q27:5 6:2
- 13/09/26WMarcel Zielinski#576Challenger Szczecin · Q16:7 6:2 6:2
- 06/09/26LMika Brunold#195Challenger Tulln · Q16:7 3:6
- 26/08/26LFacundo Mena#198Challenger Augsburg · R166:7 5:7
Milos Karol
- 15/10/26LMarco Trungelliti#90Challenger Maia · R162:6 0:6
- 13/10/26WFlorian Broska#317Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WOleksii Krutykh#439Challenger Maia · Q26:1 5:7 7:6
- 11/10/26WDali Blanch#320Challenger Maia · Q16:3 3:6 6:3
- 04/10/26LTiago Cacao#626Challenger Braga · Q14:6 4:6
- 16/06/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#188Challenger Poznan · R323:6 7:5 3:6
- 15/06/26WLuca Castelnuovo#449Challenger Poznan · Q23:6 6:2 6:3
- 14/06/26WMichael Vrbensky#668Challenger Poznan · Q17:6 6:1
- 07/06/26LNicolas Alvarez Varona#926Challenger Bratislava · Q17:6 4:6 6:7
- 04/06/26LAlex Molcan#80Challenger Prostejov · R163:6 4:6
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| K. Wehnelt | M. Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 0–10% | 8–753% |
| Clay | 14–1156% | 9–1145% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.