Trungelliti vs Karol: prediction and tips
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Our tips
Tip in 1d 5hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon on match day, for earlier ones 3 hours before the order-of-play time.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength.
Winner
Elo: M. Trungelliti 79% · M. Karol 21%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 19.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 21.4
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16.5 | 81% | 19% | 84% |
| 17.5 | 71% | 29% | 76% |
| 18.5 | 61% | 39% | 68% |
| 19.5 | 52% | 48% | 59% |
| 20.5 | 44% | 56% | 52% |
| 21.5 | 39% | 61% | 47% |
| 22.5 | 34% | 66% | 40% |
Sample: 1,722 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 27%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| M. Trungelliti | Tour | M. Karol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 65% |
| Return points won | 39% | 38% | 36% |
| Service games held | 78% | 76% | 82% |
| Breaks of serve | 24% | 24% | 20% |
| Aces per service game | 0.37 | 0.87 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.32 | 0.36 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 22% | 24% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 17/37 | 8/20 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 50% | 59% | |
| Matches in the sample | 65 | 34 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Marco Trungelliti
- 13/10/26WThiago Monteiro#235Challenger Maia · R324:6 6:1 6:4
- 07/10/26LRei Sakamoto#137ATP Shanghai · R1283:6 5:7
- 29/09/26LAlex Molcan#84ATP Beijing · Q24:6 5:7
- 28/09/26WMartin Landaluce#73ATP Beijing · Q16:1 6:7 7:6
- 19/09/26LThiago Monteiro#235Challenger Szczecin · SF4:6 6:3 3:6
- 18/09/26WMarco Cecchinato#163Challenger Szczecin · QF7:6 7:5
- 17/09/26WFilip Pieczonka#905Challenger Szczecin · R166:7 7:5 6:4
- 15/09/26WSean Cuenin#310Challenger Szczecin · R327:6 6:2
- 08/09/26LTiago Pereira#339Challenger Seville · R324:6 6:4 4:6
- 03/09/26LAlexander Blockx#28ATP US Open · R643:6 2:6 6:3 1:6
Milos Karol
- 13/10/26WFlorian Broska#334Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:4
- 12/10/26WOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Maia · Q26:1 5:7 7:6
- 11/10/26WDali Blanch#325Challenger Maia · Q16:3 3:6 6:3
- 04/10/26LTiago Cacao#649Challenger Braga · Q14:6 4:6
- 16/06/26LJoao Lucas Reis Da Silva#230Challenger Poznan · R323:6 7:5 3:6
- 15/06/26WLuca Castelnuovo#455Challenger Poznan · Q23:6 6:2 6:3
- 14/06/26WMichael Vrbensky#754Challenger Poznan · Q17:6 6:1
- 07/06/26LNicolas Alvarez Varona#845Challenger Bratislava · Q17:6 4:6 6:7
- 04/06/26LAlex Molcan#84Challenger Prostejov · R163:6 4:6
- 02/06/26WCarlo Alberto Caniato#318Challenger Prostejov · R327:6 6:1
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| M. Trungelliti | M. Karol | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 7–1041% | 8–753% |
| Clay | 28–1664% | 9–1047% |
| Grass | 1–325% | 0–0 |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Marco Trungelliti
- 13/10/26WThiago Monteiro#235Challenger Maia · R324:6 6:1 6:4
Milos Karol
- 11/10/26WDali Blanch#325Challenger Maia · Q16:3 3:6 6:3
- 12/10/26WOleksii Krutykh#456Challenger Maia · Q26:1 5:7 7:6
- 13/10/26WFlorian Broska#334Challenger Maia · R326:3 6:4