Challenger MaiaChallenger 125Round of 32claybest of three sets

Broska vs Karol 0:2: result and our tips

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Florian BroskaATP #334Elo 1639clay 1631
0:2final3:6 4:6
Milos KarolATP #583Elo 1583clay 1568

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Games: Over 19.5Lost71%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 71%

Over 19.5 games in recent matches: Broska 17 of 20, Karol 18 of 20 (tour average 59%); Broska: 9 matches in a row over 19.5 games

Long shot
Total Games: Over 25.5Lost37%

Where the number comes from: market alone 35% → with the players' profiles 37%

Over 25.5 games in recent matches: Broska 12 of 20, Karol 11 of 20 (tour average 30%); Broska: 3 matches in a row over 25.5 games

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Florian Broska54%
Milos Karol46%

Elo: F. Broska 59% · M. Karol 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 F. Broska35%
2:1 F. Broska20%
2:1 M. Karol19%
2:0 M. Karol27%

First set

Florian Broska54%
Milos Karol46%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes39%
no61%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 51%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.571%30%59%
20.562%38%52%
21.555%45%47%
22.549%51%40%
23.543%57%36%
24.540%60%34%
25.537%63%30%

Sample: 4,554 matches

Games handicap

Florian Broska −1.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes38%

tour average 27%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 19 games
  • Games handicapnot covered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Florian BroskaMilos Karol
4Aces13
1Double faults5
72%First serves in64%
63%First-serve points won90%
50%Second-serve points won41%
0/2Break points converted2/5
7/9Service games held10/10
60%Service points won72%
28%Return points won40%
51Total points won67

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

F. BroskaTourM. Karol
Service points won64%62%65%
Return points won38%38%36%
Service games held81%76%82%
Breaks of serve22%24%20%
Aces per service game0.380.86
Double faults per game0.200.36
Sets with a tie-break25%25%
Tie-breaks won9/188/20
Wins in straight sets35%56%
Matches in the sample2933

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Florian Broska

Milos Karol

Elo over the last year

Florian BroskaMilos Karol

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

F. BroskaM. Karol
Hard court5–550%8–753%
Clay12–763%8–1044%

Head to head

F. Broska 0–1 M. Karol

  • 21/09/25Winner: Milos Karol3:6 4:6

Road through the tournament

Florian Broska

Milos Karol