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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Yastremska vs Volynets 2:1: result and our tips

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Dayana YastremskaWTA #97Elo 1802hard 1769
2:1final7:5 1:6 7:6(7)
Katie VolynetsWTA #81Elo 1879hard 1849

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Dayana Yastremska43%
Katie Volynets57%

Elo: D. Yastremska 39% · K. Volynets 61%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 D. Yastremska28%
2:1 D. Yastremska18%
2:1 K. Volynets20%
2:0 K. Volynets34%

First set

Dayana Yastremska47%
Katie Volynets53%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineOver 21.0 · 49%market (no margin): 51%

The 21.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.6

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.555%45%49%
21.549%51%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.539%61%34%
24.537%64%32%

Sample: 2,445 matches

Games handicap

K. Volynets −1.549%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite lost
  • Most likely set scorewas 2:1
  • Total games Over 21.0in · 32 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Dayana YastremskaKatie Volynets
6Aces0
11Double faults2
54%First serves in72%
63%First-serve points won59%
44%Second-serve points won59%
5/14Break points converted6/16
9/15Service games held11/16
55%Service points won59%
41%Return points won46%
111Total points won123

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

D. YastremskaTourK. Volynets
Service points won55%56%57%
Return points won43%44%48%
Service games held62%63%64%
Breaks of serve35%37%44%
Aces per service game0.190.13
Double faults per game0.410.13
Sets with a tie-break16%9%
Tie-breaks won12/179/14
Wins in straight sets67%65%
Matches in the sample4469

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Dayana Yastremska

Katie Volynets

Elo over the last year

Dayana YastremskaKatie Volynets

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

D. YastremskaK. Volynets
Hard court11–1542%23–1561%
Clay7–558%9–756%
Grass3–350%11–473%

Head to head

D. Yastremska 1–1 K. Volynets

  • 07/01/25Winner: D. Yastremska2:6 6:4 6:1
  • 15/04/23Winner: K. Volynets6:2 6:7 3:6

Road through the tournament

Dayana Yastremska

Katie Volynets

First match in this tournament.