Young vs Ostapenkov 1:2: result and our tips
·
Our tips
No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.
Match chances
Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.
Winner
Elo: G. Young 51% · D. Ostapenkov 49%
from the market (no margin)
Set score
First set
Total games
The 21.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).
Expected total: 23.5
| Line | Over | Under | Tour over |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19.5 | 68% | 32% | 62% |
| 20.5 | 60% | 40% | 54% |
| 21.5 | 55% | 45% | 49% |
| 22.5 | 47% | 53% | 42% |
| 23.5 | 42% | 58% | 37% |
| 24.5 | 40% | 60% | 35% |
| 25.5 | 36% | 64% | 32% |
Sample: 5,956 matches
Games handicap
Tie-break in the match
tour average 32%
Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.
How the forecast did
- Favouritefavourite lost
- Most likely set scorewas 1:2
- Total games Over 21.5in · 26 games
- Games handicapnot covered
Match stats
| Gavin Young | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Aces | 5 |
| 2 | Double faults | 5 |
| 69% | First serves in | 58% |
| 66% | First-serve points won | 75% |
| 46% | Second-serve points won | 43% |
| 2/6 | Break points converted | 4/11 |
| 9/13 | Service games held | 11/13 |
| 60% | Service points won | 61% |
| 39% | Return points won | 41% |
| 84 | Total points won | 88 |
Serve profile (12 months)
Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.
| G. Young | Tour | D. Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Service points won | 62% | 62% | 62% |
| Return points won | 37% | 38% | 39% |
| Service games held | 76% | 76% | 76% |
| Breaks of serve | 22% | 24% | 26% |
| Aces per service game | 0.38 | 0.56 | |
| Double faults per game | 0.22 | 0.35 | |
| Sets with a tie-break | 0% | 21% | |
| Tie-breaks won | 0/0 | 10/15 | |
| Wins in straight sets | 60% | 61% | |
| Matches in the sample | 10 | 31 |
Form
The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.
Gavin Young
- 25/10/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Sioux Falls · Q17:5 7:5
- 20/10/26LAlex Rybakov#636Challenger Fort Worth · R324:6 0:6
- 19/10/26WDuncan Chan#467Challenger Fort Worth · Q24:6 6:1 6:4
- 18/10/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Fort Worth · Q11:6 6:4 6:3
- 10/08/26LEdward Winter#406Challenger Brownsburg · Q22:6 2:6
- 09/08/26WWilliam ManningChallenger Brownsburg · Q16:2 6:4
- 02/08/26LSoonwoo Kwon#160Challenger Lexington · Q15:7 3:6
- 20/07/26LSebastian Gorzny#402Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q27:5 5:7 3:6
- 19/07/26WRichard BiagiottiChallenger Bloomfield Hills · Q16:3 6:4
- 12/07/26LYassine Dlimi#543Challenger Lincoln · Q15:7 3:6
Daniil Ostapenkov
- 25/10/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#469Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:4 6:4
- 18/10/26LAlbert Pedrico KravtsovChallenger Fort Worth · Q16:7 5:7
- 01/10/26LAbdullah Shelbayh#308Challenger Columbus · R161:6 5:7
- 29/09/26WRaphael Perot#336Challenger Columbus · R321:6 6:3 6:4
- 28/09/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#469Challenger Columbus · Q26:2 7:6
- 27/09/26WIlija PalavestraChallenger Columbus · Q17:6 6:1
- 21/09/26LTimo Legout#343Challenger San Diego 2 · Q23:6 1:6
- 20/09/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#469Challenger San Diego 2 · Q17:5 4:6 6:3
- 14/09/26LTimo Legout#343Challenger Tiburon · Q23:6 4:6
- 13/09/26WGus GrumetChallenger Tiburon · Q16:2 6:2
Elo over the last year
Record by surface (12 months)
Wins–losses over the last 12 months.
| G. Young | D. Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Hard court | 5–550% | 14–1156% |
| Clay | 0–0 | 4–267% |
Head to head
They have not met yet.
Road through the tournament
Gavin Young
- 25/10/26WKenta (2004) Miyoshi#422Challenger Sioux Falls · Q17:5 7:5
Daniil Ostapenkov
- 25/10/26WQuinn Vandecasteele#469Challenger Sioux Falls · Q16:4 6:4