Challenger Fort WorthChallenger 75Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Young vs Rybakov 0:2: result and our tips

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Gavin YoungATP #542Elo 1599hard 1598
0:2final4:6 0:6
Alex RybakovATP #696Elo 1560hard 1536

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Tie-break in Match: NoWon61%

Where the number comes from: market alone 65% → with the players' profiles 61%

No tie-break in recent matches: Young 8 of 8, Rybakov 15 of 20 (tour average 68%); Young: 8 matches in a row without a tie-break

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Gavin Young44%
Alex Rybakov56%

Elo: G. Young 59% · A. Rybakov 41%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 G. Young26%
2:1 G. Young17%
2:1 A. Rybakov21%
2:0 A. Rybakov36%

First set

Gavin Young45%
Alex Rybakov55%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.5 · 51%market (no margin): 49%

The 22.5 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 23.7

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
19.570%30%62%
20.562%38%54%
21.556%44%49%
22.549%51%42%
23.543%57%37%
24.540%60%35%
25.537%63%32%

Sample: 5,718 matches

Games handicap

Alex Rybakov −1.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes39%

tour average 32%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.5in · 16 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breakno tie-break

Match stats

Gavin YoungAlex Rybakov
3Aces0
3Double faults6
67%First serves in70%
59%First-serve points won80%
40%Second-serve points won40%
0/3Break points converted4/9
4/8Service games held8/8
53%Service points won68%
32%Return points won48%
48Total points won63

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

G. YoungTourA. Rybakov
Service points won62%62%63%
Return points won37%38%37%
Service games held76%76%76%
Breaks of serve22%24%21%
Aces per service game0.390.41
Double faults per game0.230.25
Sets with a tie-break0%13%
Tie-breaks won0/05/10
Wins in straight sets50%75%
Matches in the sample832

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Gavin Young

  • 19/10/26WDuncan Chan#472Challenger Fort Worth · Q24:6 6:1 6:4
  • 18/10/26WJames Kent Trotter#551Challenger Fort Worth · Q11:6 6:4 6:3
  • 10/08/26LEdward Winter#401Challenger Brownsburg · Q22:6 2:6
  • 09/08/26WWilliam ManningChallenger Brownsburg · Q16:2 6:4
  • 02/08/26LSoonwoo Kwon#160Challenger Lexington · Q15:7 3:6
  • 20/07/26LSebastian Gorzny#406Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Q27:5 5:7 3:6
  • 19/07/26WRichard BiagiottiChallenger Bloomfield Hills · Q16:3 6:4
  • 12/07/26LYassine Dlimi#486Challenger Lincoln · Q15:7 3:6

Alex Rybakov

  • 19/10/26WBor Artnak#538Challenger Fort Worth · Q26:4 6:4
  • 18/10/26WKarl Poling#452Challenger Fort Worth · Q16:4 6:4
  • 28/09/26LLuca Staeheli#425Challenger Columbus · Q26:4 3:6 3:6
  • 27/09/26WMatthew Forbes#756Challenger Columbus · Q17:5 6:3
  • 21/09/26LOzan Baris#402Challenger San Diego 2 · Q26:1 3:6 4:6
  • 20/09/26WKarue SellChallenger San Diego 2 · Q16:3 6:4
  • 14/09/26LRyan Seggerman#565Challenger Tiburon · Q26:7 3:6
  • 13/09/26WDan Martin#652Challenger Tiburon · Q16:4 6:2
  • 23/08/26LOliver Bonding#658Challenger Roehampton 2 · Q17:5 4:6 3:6
  • 19/08/26LCharles Broom#264Challenger Roehampton · R165:7 3:6

Elo over the last year

Gavin YoungAlex Rybakov

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

G. YoungA. Rybakov
Hard court4–450%9–1538%
Clay0–02–433%
Grass0–01–150%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Gavin Young

Alex Rybakov