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WTA GuangzhouWTA 250Round of 32hardbest of three sets

Zakharova vs Linette 0:2: result and our tips

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Anastasia ZakharovaWTA #105Elo 1716hard 1702
0:2final6:7(6) 4:6
Magda LinetteWTA #71Elo 1800hard 1759

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Our tip
Total Sets: Under 2.5Won62%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zakharova: 19 matches in a row without a deciding set; No third set in recent matches: Zakharova 19 of 20, Linette 14 of 20 (tour average 66%)

Other tips

  • Total Games: Under 26.5Won72%

    Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

    Zakharova: 19 matches in a row under 26.5 games; Under 26.5 games in recent matches: Zakharova 19 of 20, Linette 17 of 20 (tour average 76%)

Long shot
Total Games: Under 20.5Lost46%

Where the number comes from: chance from the market; the pick and the reasoning come from our data

Zakharova: 9 matches in a row under 20.5 games; Under 20.5 games in recent matches: Zakharova 17 of 20, Linette 9 of 20 (tour average 51%)

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Anastasia Zakharova47%
Magda Linette53%

Elo: A. Zakharova 42% · M. Linette 58%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 A. Zakharova30%
2:1 A. Zakharova19%
2:1 M. Linette19%
2:0 M. Linette32%

First set

Anastasia Zakharova49%
Magda Linette51%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes38%
no62%

Total games

The bookmakers' lineUnder 22.0 · 52%market (no margin): 50%

The 22.0 line offered by bookmakers before the match: our chance on that line, and next to it the market's (from the odds, without the margin).

Expected total: 22.5

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
18.569%31%64%
19.561%39%56%
20.554%46%49%
21.548%52%44%
22.543%57%38%
23.538%62%34%
24.536%64%32%

Sample: 2,336 matches

Games handicap

M. Linette −0.550%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes25%

tour average 22%

How the forecast did

  • Favouritefavourite won
  • Most likely set scorehit 0:2
  • Total games Under 22.0out · 23 games
  • Games handicapcovered
  • Tie-breaktie-break played

Match stats

Anastasia ZakharovaMagda Linette
2Aces18
3Double faults3
61%First serves in67%
63%First-serve points won82%
61%Second-serve points won50%
1/2Break points converted2/7
9/11Service games held10/11
62%Service points won72%
28%Return points won38%
68Total points won78

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

A. ZakharovaTourM. Linette
Service points won56%56%57%
Return points won44%44%42%
Service games held64%63%66%
Breaks of serve34%37%31%
Aces per service game0.090.31
Double faults per game0.280.22
Sets with a tie-break12%9%
Tie-breaks won12/173/9
Wins in straight sets67%35%
Matches in the sample6542

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Anastasia Zakharova

Magda Linette

Elo over the last year

Anastasia ZakharovaMagda Linette

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

A. ZakharovaM. Linette
Hard court26–2254%14–1745%
Clay4–736%3–350%
Grass3–350%3–260%

Head to head

They have not met yet.

Road through the tournament

Anastasia Zakharova

Magda Linette

First match in this tournament.