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Challenger SydneyChallenger 75Qualifying round 2hardbest of three setsqualifying

Zhu vs Jovanovski: prediction and tips

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Evan ZhuATP #461Elo 1547hard 1540
-:-awaiting result
Daniel JovanovskiElo 1318hard 1310

Our tips

No tip for this match: when the tips were published, no bet on offer had clear support in our data. We never force a tip.

Match chances

Winner chance from the market (no margin). The other markets come from the history of matches with a similar balance of strength. Chances and profiles as they stood before the match.

Winner

Evan Zhu81%
Daniel Jovanovski19%

Elo: E. Zhu 79% · D. Jovanovski 21%

from the market (no margin)

Set score

2:0 E. Zhu60%
2:1 E. Zhu21%
2:1 D. Jovanovski9%
2:0 D. Jovanovski10%

First set

Evan Zhu74%
Daniel Jovanovski26%
Full distance (3rd set)
yes30%
no70%

Total games

Expected total: 22.1

Distribution of total games
LineOverUnderTour over
17.576%24%79%
18.567%33%71%
19.559%42%62%
20.549%51%54%
21.543%57%49%
22.537%63%42%
23.532%68%37%

Sample: 2,995 matches

Games handicap

E. Zhu −4.552%

Tie-break in the match

Tie-break: yes28%

tour average 32%

Bookmakers offer no tie-break bet on this match.

Serve profile (12 months)

Matches with stats from the last 12 months, pulled towards the tour average on a small sample.

E. ZhuTourD. Jovanovski
Service points won63%62%59%
Return points won39%38%36%
Service games held79%76%71%
Breaks of serve26%24%19%
Aces per service game0.300.44
Double faults per game0.240.38
Sets with a tie-break14%25%
Tie-breaks won6/151/3
Wins in straight sets60%—
Matches in the sample435

Form

The last 10 matches in all tournaments, newest first.

Evan Zhu

  • 08/11/26LThomas Fancutt#690Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q13:6 6:1 4:6
  • 02/11/26LYuta Shimizu#362Challenger Taipei · Q21:6 3:6
  • 01/11/26WAkira Santillan#349Challenger Taipei · Q10:1
  • 25/10/26LYeonsu JeongChallenger Seoul · Q14:6 4:6
  • 19/10/26LMax Purcell#619Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q24:6 4:6
  • 18/10/26WYaojie Zeng#966Challenger Guangzhou Nansha · Q16:1 1:6 6:3
  • 08/10/26LAlibek Kachmazov#347Challenger Wuning 3 · R166:7 6:7
  • 06/10/26WKoki Matsuda#484Challenger Wuning 3 · R326:3 6:3
  • 01/10/26LAlex Bolt#171Challenger Jingshan · R167:6 4:6 2:6
  • 30/09/26WHanyi Liu#853Challenger Jingshan · R326:3 6:4

Daniel Jovanovski

  • 08/02/26LMasamichi Imamura#439Challenger Brisbane 2 · Q16:7 3:6
  • 11/01/26LFilip Misolic#593ATP Adelaide · Q15:7 4:6
  • 03/01/26LArthur Fery#33Challenger Canberra · Q16:3 4:6 0:6
  • 23/11/25LTung-Lin Wu#376Challenger Playford · Q13:6 3:6
  • 16/11/25LHayato Matsuoka#246Challenger Sydney · Q16:7 7:6 4:6
  • 09/11/25LBlaise Bicknell#395Challenger Brisbane 3 · Q16:2 3:6 4:6

Elo over the last year

Evan ZhuDaniel Jovanovski

Record by surface (12 months)

Wins–losses over the last 12 months.

E. ZhuD. Jovanovski
Hard court25–1858%0–50%
Clay0–10%0–0

Head to head

They have not met yet.

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