Primera LPFMatchday 3

Belgrano 0-1 Argentinos Jrs: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Julio Cesar Villagra, Cordoba
Referee:
Andres Gariano

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Under 2.5Won69%

under 2.5 goals in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards: Under 5.5Won61%

    referee Andres Gariano averages 4.9 cards a match, league average 5.2

For the brave
Correct Score: 0:0Lost15%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBelgrano168537%37%Draw33%31%Argentinos Jrs169430%32%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS40%44%O2.531%36%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.1not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Argentinos Jrs1:1BelgranoD
  2. Argentinos Jrs0:0BelgranoD
  3. Argentinos Jrs1:0BelgranoL
  4. Belgrano1:1Argentinos JrsD
  5. Belgrano1:0Argentinos JrsW
Belgrano's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.8league 8.6over 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.8 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 4
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.2under 5.5: 61%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 19%.won · ended 3
RefereeA. Gariano−1.0 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.0 : 0.9total 1.9Attack/defence1.1 : 1.1total 2.2
Belgrano : Argentinos Jrs
Most likely scores
Market0-015%1-114%1-014%0-112%2-08%2-1—1-2—Attack/defence0-012%1-114%1-012%0-112%2-0—2-17%1-27%
MarketAttack/defence0-00-015%0-012%1-11-114%1-114%1-01-014%1-012%0-10-112%0-112%2-02-08%2-0—2-12-1—2-17%1-21-2—1-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals87%83%83%
1X – home team avoid defeat70%66%66%
Our tip: Under 2.5 goals69%64%64%
12 – no draw67%70%70%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%64%64%
Both teams to score: no60%56%56%
Over 1.5 goals59%63%63%
Under 1.5 goals41%37%37%
Both teams to score: yes40%44%44%
1 – Belgrano win37%36% · Elo 37%36%· Elo 37%
X – draw33%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
Over 2.5 goals31%36%36%
2 – Argentinos Jrs win30%34% · Elo 32%34%· Elo 32%
Over 3.5 goals13%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Belgrano attack vs Argentinos Jrs defenceattack1508defence1584−76 pts to the attack
Argentinos Jrs attack vs Belgrano defenceattack1566defence1502+64 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Argentinos Jrs matches average 6.8 cards (league 5.2) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Belgrano: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Belgrano: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Argentinos Jrs: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Belgrano1264214:722
3Argentinos Jrs1264216:1122
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs?

Belgrano 0-1 Argentinos Jrs (half time 0-1).

Did the Belgrano vs Argentinos Jrs tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Under 2.5. The tip won.