Primera LPFMatchday 11

Dep. Riestra 1-1 Central Cordoba: prediction, tips and result

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Dep. Riestra
0-01-11-10-30-0
1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Central Cordoba
2-21-30-10-01-2
Stadium:
Estadio Guillermo Laza, Flores
Referee:
Andres Merlos

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoLost62%

at least one side without a goal in 4 of the last 4 head-to-head meetings

Other tips

  • Cards (yellow=1, red=2): Under 5.5Won67%

    referee Andres Merlos averages 4.5 card points a match, league average 5.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Fouls – Central Cordoba: Under 11.5Won65%

    our numbers for Central Cordoba: 10.4 fouls against a league average of 11.8; Central Cordoba: 10.2 fouls a match, Dep. Riestra's opponents committed 9.3 on average, league average 11.8

  • Offsides – Central Cordoba: Under 1.5Lost58%

    Central Cordoba: under 1.5 offsides in 7 of their last 10 league matches, Dep. Riestra's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 8 of 10 (56% of league matches)

  • Shots on Target – Dep. Riestra: Over 4.5Lost55%

    our numbers for Dep. Riestra: 5.0 shots on target against a league average of 4.4

For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Lost16%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloDep. Riestra155049%41%Draw30%31%Central Cordoba156421%29%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS38%41%O2.532%35%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.8both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
  1. Central Cordoba1:0Dep. RiestraL
  2. Dep. Riestra2:0Central CordobaW
  3. Central Cordoba0:0Dep. RiestraD
  4. Dep. Riestra1:0Central CordobaW
Dep. Riestra's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.7under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.7 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 6
Yellow cardsleague yellows4.3league 4.8under 4.5: 57%Expected yellow cards: 4.3 in this match, 4.8 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 4.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Merlos−0.8 yellow cards vs average22 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)79%O1.51:0coverageleague 76% · H2H 2/4covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.3 : 0.7total 2.0Attack/defence1.3 : 0.8total 2.1
Dep. Riestra : Central Cordoba
Most likely scores
Market1-016%0-015%1-113%2-011%0-19%2-1—Attack/defence1-016%0-013%1-113%2-010%0-110%2-18%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-016%1-016%0-00-015%0-013%1-11-113%1-113%2-02-011%2-010%0-10-19%0-110%2-12-1—2-18%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals86%84%84%
1X – home team avoid defeat79%77%77%
12 – no draw70%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals68%65%65%
Our tip: Both teams to score: no62%60%60%
Over 1.5 goals60%62%62%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%53%53%
1 – Dep. Riestra win49%47% · Elo 41%47%· Elo 41%
Under 1.5 goals40%38%38%
Both teams to score: yes38%41%41%
Over 2.5 goals32%35%35%
X – draw30%30% · Elo 31%30%· Elo 31%
2 – Central Cordoba win21%23% · Elo 29%23%· Elo 29%
Over 3.5 goals14%16%16%
Attack vs defence
Dep. Riestra attack vs Central Cordoba defenceattack1420defence1433−13 pts to the attack
Central Cordoba attack vs Dep. Riestra defenceattack1455defence1561−106 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 53%close to the league averageunder 47%over
We expect 7.9 in this match, 7.9 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
6.566%62%
7.553%51%
8.540%40%
9.528%30%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Dep. Riestrawe expect 5.0, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 55%
Central Cordobawe expect 3.0, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 36%
Foulsleague average
Under 22.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 21.5 in this match, 22.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
21.548%56%
22.541%51%
23.534%46%
24.528%38%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Dep. Riestrawe expect 12.0, league average 10.9 · chance of over 10.5: 63%
Central Cordobawe expect 10.4, league average 11.8 · chance of over 11.5: 36%
Referee: 21.0 fouls per match on average (25 matches in our data)−1.8 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 54%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 46%
We expect 3.5 in this match, 3.4 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.567%65%
3.546%41%
4.528%26%
5.515%15%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Dep. Riestrawe expect 2.1, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 60%
Central Cordobawe expect 1.4, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 42%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Central Cordoba score only 0.7 goals per game
  • Dep. Riestra: 16 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Central Cordoba: 17 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Dep. Riestra

Central Cordoba

League position

Clausura, Group A

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
12Dep. Riestra122559:1211
14Central Cordoba1224610:1610
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Dep. Riestra vs Central Cordoba?

Dep. Riestra 1-1 Central Cordoba (half time 1-1).

Did the Dep. Riestra vs Central Cordoba tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip lost.

See also