Primera LPFMatchday 6

Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 Sarmiento Junin: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Jorge Luis Hirschi, La Plata
Referee:
Andres Merlos

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Over 4.5Won55%

4.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 7.4 in the visitors', league average 5.0

For the brave
Cards: Over 5.5Won39%

4.8 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 7.4 in the visitors', league average 5.0; over 5.5 cards in 2 of the hosts' last 5 league matches and 4 of the visitors' last 5 (41% of league matches)

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS39%O2.534%|exp. goals 1.3 : 0.8not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sarmiento Junin2:0Estudiantes L.P.L
  2. Estudiantes L.P.1:1Sarmiento JuninD
  3. Estudiantes L.P.2:1Sarmiento JuninW
  4. Sarmiento Junin0:3Estudiantes L.P.W
  5. Estudiantes L.P.1:0Sarmiento JuninW
Estudiantes L.P.'s record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.3league 8.1under 8.5: 55%Expected corners: 8.3 in this match, 8.1 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 8.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.0over 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.0 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 15%.won · ended 8
RefereeA. Merlos−1.0 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Attack/defence1.3 : 0.8total 2.1
Estudiantes L.P. : Sarmiento Junin
Most likely scores
Attack/defence1-016%0-013%1-113%2-011%0-19%2-18%
Attack/defence1-01-016%0-00-013%1-11-113%2-02-011%0-10-19%2-12-18%
Attack vs defence
Estudiantes L.P. attack vs Sarmiento Junin defenceattack1550defence1480+70 pts to the attack
Sarmiento Junin attack vs Estudiantes L.P. defenceattack1431defence1503−72 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Estudiantes L.P.: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Estudiantes L.P. concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Estudiantes L.P.: unbeaten in 9 matches
  • Estudiantes L.P.: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Sarmiento Junin: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
9Estudiantes L.P.Clausura, Group A1242615:1314
4Sarmiento JuninClausura, Group B1161420:1719
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin?

Estudiantes L.P. 1-0 Sarmiento Junin (half time 0-0).

Did the Estudiantes L.P. vs Sarmiento Junin tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Over 4.5. The tip won.