Primera LPFMatchday 3

River Plate 0-1 Rosario Central: prediction, tips and result

·

Stadium:
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti, Buenos Aires
Referee:
Nicolas Ramirez

The match in numbers

1X2EloRiver Plate171244%36%Draw32%31%Rosario Central176125%33%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%45%O2.534%40%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. River Plate1:0Rosario CentralW
  2. Rosario Central0:0River PlateD
  3. Rosario Central2:1River PlateL
  4. River Plate2:2Rosario CentralD
  5. River Plate4:0Rosario CentralW
River Plate's record: 2 wins, 2 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.6league 8.6under 8.5: 51%Expected corners: 8.6 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 49% of matches end under 8.5 corners.lost · ended 14
Cardsleague cards5.5league 5.1under 5.5: 54%Expected cards: 5.5 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 8
RefereeN. Ramirez+0.8 cards vs average12 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.8total 2.0Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
River Plate : Rosario Central
Most likely scores
Market1-015%1-114%0-014%0-110%2-09%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-011%0-19%2-010%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%1-11-114%1-113%0-00-014%0-011%0-10-110%0-19%2-02-09%2-010%2-12-1—2-19%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals85%80%80%
1X – home team avoid defeat76%76%76%
12 – no draw69%72%72%
Under 2.5 goals66%60%60%
Over 1.5 goals62%67%67%
Both teams to score: no59%55%55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat57%52%52%
1 – River Plate win44%47% · Elo 36%47%· Elo 36%
Both teams to score: yes41%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals38%33%33%
Over 2.5 goals34%40%40%
X – draw32%28% · Elo 31%28%· Elo 31%
2 – Rosario Central win25%24% · Elo 33%24%· Elo 33%
Over 3.5 goals15%20%20%
Attack vs defence
River Plate attack vs Rosario Central defenceattack1618defence1568+50 pts to the attack
Rosario Central attack vs River Plate defenceattack1543defence1564−21 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • River Plate: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • River Plate: only 13 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • River Plate: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Rosario Central: 5 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

Clausura, Group B

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
1Rosario Central1264217:922
9River Plate1151514:1216
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of River Plate vs Rosario Central?

River Plate 0-1 Rosario Central (half time 0-1).