Primera LPFMatchday 1
Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto: prediction, tips and result
·
- Stadium:
- Jose Amalfitani, Buenos Aires
- Referee:
- Andres Merlos
Our tips
Main tip
Both Teams To Score: NoWon59%
at least one side without a goal in 5 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings
Other tips
- Cards: Under 5.5Won62%
referee Andres Merlos averages 4.1 cards a match, league average 5.3
For the brave
Correct Score: 1:0Won15%
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS41%45%O2.534%40%|exp. goals 1.4 : 0.9not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Instituto0:1Velez SarsfieldW
- Velez Sarsfield0:0InstitutoD
- Instituto2:0Velez SarsfieldL
- Velez Sarsfield1:0InstitutoW
- Instituto1:0Velez SarsfieldL
Velez Sarsfield's record: 2 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses1.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners8.7league 8.6over 8.5: 50%Expected corners: 8.7 in this match, 8.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end over 8.5 corners.lost · ended 7
Cardsleague cards5.0league 5.3under 5.5: 62%Expected cards: 5.0 in this match, 5.3 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Merlos−1.3 cards vs average13 matches
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.2 : 0.8total 2.0Attack/defence1.4 : 0.9total 2.3
Velez Sarsfield : InstitutoMost likely scores
Market1-015%1-114%0-014%0-110%2-010%2-1—Attack/defence1-014%1-113%0-011%0-19%2-010%2-19%
MarketAttack/defence1-01-015%1-014%1-11-114%1-113%0-00-014%0-011%0-10-110%0-19%2-02-010%2-010%2-12-1—2-19%
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 85%80% | 80% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 76%76% | 76% |
| 12 – no draw | 68%72% | 72% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 66%60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62%67% | 67% |
| Our tip: Both teams to score: no | 59%55% | 55% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 56%52% | 52% |
| 1 – Velez Sarsfield win | 44%48% · Elo 51% | 48%· Elo 51% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 41%45% | 45% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 38%33% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34%40% | 40% |
| X – draw | 32%28% · Elo 28% | 28%· Elo 28% |
| 2 – Instituto win | 24%24% · Elo 21% | 24%· Elo 21% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15%20% | 20% |
Attack vs defence
Velez Sarsfield attack vs Instituto defenceattack1524defence1475+49 pts to the attack
Instituto attack vs Velez Sarsfield defenceattack1498defence1519−21 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Velez Sarsfield: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Instituto: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
- Velez Sarsfield: 75 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
- Instituto: 81 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Clausura, Group A
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Instituto | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 26 |
| 4 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 17:13 | 21 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto?
Velez Sarsfield 1-0 Instituto (half time 1-0).
Did the Velez Sarsfield vs Instituto tip win?
Our pre-match tip: Both Teams To Score: No. The tip won.