BundesligaMatchday 5

Salzburg 4-1 Austria Vienna: prediction, tips and result

·

4-1Full time(half time 3-0)
Stadium:
Red Bull Arena, Salzburg
Referee:
Walter Altmann

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won71%

referee Walter Altmann averages 3.3 cards a match, league average 4.1; our numbers: 3.6 cards against a league average of 4.1

Other tips

  • Match Result: SalzburgWon71%

    Salzburg: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won66%

    our numbers: 3.4 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

For the brave
Correct Score: 2:1Lost9%
How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloSalzburg177771%51%Draw17%27%Austria Vienna162112%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%53%O2.566%52%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.0both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Salzburg3:1Austria ViennaW
  2. Austria Vienna1:3SalzburgW
  3. Salzburg0:2Austria ViennaL
  4. Austria Vienna0:3SalzburgW
  5. Salzburg2:0Austria ViennaW
Salzburg's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss3.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.8league 9.6over 9.5: 51%Expected corners: 9.8 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 9.5 corners.won · ended 11
Cardsleague cards3.6league 4.1under 4.5: 71%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 4.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 2
RefereeW. Altmann−1.2 cards vs average15 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.5 : 0.9total 3.4Attack/defence1.7 : 1.0total 2.8
Salzburg : Austria Vienna
Most likely scores
Market1-18%1-08%2-010%2-19%3-09%0-0—0-1—Attack/defence1-112%1-011%2-09%2-110%3-0—0-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-18%1-112%1-01-08%1-011%2-02-010%2-09%2-12-19%2-110%3-03-09%3-0—0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
1X – home team avoid defeat88%77%77%
Over 1.5 goals86%76%76%
12 – no draw83%76%76%
1 – Salzburg win71%53% · Elo 51%53%· Elo 51%
Over 2.5 goals66%52%52%
Under 3.5 goals56%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes55%53%53%
Both teams to score: no45%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals44%30%30%
Under 2.5 goals34%48%48%
X2 – away team avoid defeat29%47%47%
X – draw17%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals14%24%24%
2 – Austria Vienna win12%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
Attack vs defence
Salzburg attack vs Austria Vienna defenceattack1613defence1535+78 pts to the attack
Austria Vienna attack vs Salzburg defenceattack1491defence1579−88 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Salzburg: only 14 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Salzburg: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Austria Vienna: 14 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Salzburg853018:418
10Austria Vienna82157:157
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Salzburg vs Austria Vienna?

Salzburg 4-1 Austria Vienna (half time 3-0).

Did the Salzburg vs Austria Vienna tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.