BundesligaMatchday 1

Tirol 1-1 Sturm Graz: prediction, tips and result

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1-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Stadium:
Tivoli Stadion Tirol, Innsbruck
Referee:
Stefan Ebner

The match in numbers

1X2EloTirol148225%16%Draw26%23%Sturm Graz172950%61%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%58%O2.555%56%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Tirol1:0Sturm GrazW
  2. Sturm Graz1:3TirolW
  3. Tirol0:3Sturm GrazL
  4. Sturm Graz4:2TirolL
  5. Tirol0:2Sturm GrazL
Tirol's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.3league 9.3under 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 9.3 in this match, 9.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.2under 4.5: 56%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 26%.lost · ended 5
RefereeS. Ebner+0.7 cards vs average14 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 1.7total 2.8Attack/defence1.2 : 1.7total 2.9
Tirol : Sturm Graz
Most likely scores
Market1-112%1-210%0-19%0-28%0-07%2-1—1-0—Attack/defence1-112%1-210%0-19%0-28%0-0—2-17%1-06%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%1-21-210%1-210%0-10-19%0-19%0-20-28%0-28%0-00-07%0-0—2-12-1—2-17%1-01-0—1-06%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%79%79%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%73%73%
12 – no draw75%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals68%67%67%
Both teams to score: yes57%58%58%
Over 2.5 goals55%56%56%
1X – home team avoid defeat51%51%51%
2 – Sturm Graz win50%49% · Elo 61%49%· Elo 61%
Under 2.5 goals45%44%44%
Both teams to score: no43%42%42%
Over 3.5 goals32%33%33%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 23%25%· Elo 23%
1 – Tirol win25%27% · Elo 16%27%· Elo 16%
Under 1.5 goals21%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Tirol attack vs Sturm Graz defenceattack1449defence1561−112 pts to the attack
Sturm Graz attack vs Tirol defenceattack1610defence1428+182 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Tirol concede 2.2 goals per game
  • Sturm Graz: only 2 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Sturm Graz: unbeaten in 13 matches

League form

Tirol

No matches played this season yet.

Sturm Graz

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Sturm Graz842210:914
8Tirol822410:148
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tirol vs Sturm Graz?

Tirol 1-1 Sturm Graz (half time 1-1).