Maasmechelen 1-0 KRC Genk: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Patrostadion, Maasmechelen

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost60%

over 2.5 goals in 5 of the hosts' last 6 league matches and 6 of the visitors' last 6 (55% of league matches)

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost38%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloMaasmechelen135557%55%Draw23%23%KRC Genk121620%22%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%61%O2.560%61%|exp. goals 2.0 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Maasmechelen4:4KRC GenkD
  2. KRC Genk1:4MaasmechelenW
  3. Maasmechelen1:0KRC GenkW
  4. KRC Genk1:3MaasmechelenW
  5. Maasmechelen2:2KRC GenkD
Maasmechelen's record: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners9.5league 9.6under 9.5: 52%Expected corners: 9.5 in this match, 9.6 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 9.5 corners.won · ended 7
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected yellow cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end over 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.won · ended 5
Refereeno referee data

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.1total 3.1Attack/defence2.0 : 1.2total 3.2
Maasmechelen : KRC Genk
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-110%2-09%1-08%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-08%1-08%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-110%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-09%2-08%1-01-08%1-08%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat80%77%77%
12 – no draw77%78%78%
Under 3.5 goals62%61%61%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals60%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes59%61%61%
1 – Maasmechelen win57%55% · Elo 55%55%· Elo 55%
X2 – away team avoid defeat43%45%45%
Both teams to score: no41%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals40%39%39%
Over 3.5 goals38%39%39%
X – draw23%22% · Elo 23%22%· Elo 23%
2 – KRC Genk win20%23% · Elo 22%23%· Elo 22%
Under 1.5 goals18%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Maasmechelen attack vs KRC Genk defenceattack1514defence1391+123 pts to the attack
KRC Genk attack vs Maasmechelen defenceattack1489defence1554−65 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • KRC Genk concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Maasmechelen matches average 5.5 cards (league 4.1) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • KRC Genk: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Maasmechelen: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Maasmechelen matches average only 7.6 corners (league 9.6) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Maasmechelen: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • KRC Genk: 22 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
11KRC Genk721412:157
12Maasmechelen72058:126
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Maasmechelen vs KRC Genk?

Maasmechelen 1-0 KRC Genk (half time 1-0).

Did the Maasmechelen vs KRC Genk tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.