Pro LeagueMatchday 4

Cercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel SK: prediction, tips and result

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0-1Full time(half time 0-0)
Stadium:
Jan Breydel Stadium, Bruges
Referee:
Massimiliano Ledda

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Lost69%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

Other tips

  • Match Result: Cercle BruggeLost61%

    Cercle Brugge: won 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Lost48%

our numbers: 3.5 goals in total in this match, league average 2.8

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloCercle Brugge159061%59%Draw20%23%Lommel SK149619%18%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS65%61%O2.569%61%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.2not both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Lommel SK0:1Cercle BruggeW
  2. Cercle Brugge0:5Lommel SKL
  3. Lommel SK0:1Cercle BruggeW
  4. Cercle Brugge1:0Lommel SKW
  5. Cercle Brugge3:1Lommel SKW
Cercle Brugge's record: 4 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.7league 10.1over 10.5: 50%Expected corners: 10.7 in this match, 10.1 on average in the league.In this league 45% of matches end over 10.5 corners.won · ended 13
Cardsleague cards3.5league 3.9under 3.5: 53%Expected cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.9 on average in the league.In this league 47% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 24%.lost · ended 5
RefereeM. Ledda−0.4 cards vs average13 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.3 : 1.2total 3.5Attack/defence1.9 : 1.2total 3.1
Cercle Brugge : Lommel SK
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%2-08%1-06%3-17%1-2—Attack/defence1-110%2-110%2-08%1-08%3-16%1-26%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-110%2-12-19%2-110%2-02-08%2-08%1-01-06%1-08%3-13-17%3-16%1-21-2—1-26%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals88%82%82%
1X – home team avoid defeat81%76%76%
12 – no draw80%77%77%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals69%61%61%
Both teams to score: yes65%61%61%
1 – Cercle Brugge win61%53% · Elo 59%53%· Elo 59%
Under 3.5 goals52%62%62%
Over 3.5 goals48%38%38%
X2 – away team avoid defeat39%47%47%
Both teams to score: no35%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals31%39%39%
X – draw20%23% · Elo 23%23%· Elo 23%
2 – Lommel SK win19%24% · Elo 18%24%· Elo 18%
Under 1.5 goals12%18%18%
Attack vs defence
Cercle Brugge attack vs Lommel SK defenceattack1549defence1439+110 pts to the attack
Lommel SK attack vs Cercle Brugge defenceattack1444defence1468−24 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Cercle Brugge matches average only 2.6 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Cercle Brugge: 9 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Cercle Brugge matches average 13.1 corners (league 10.1) Average corners of both teams in their last 10 league matches.
  • Cercle Brugge: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Lommel SK: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
10Lommel SK83239:911
18Cercle Brugge80359:163
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Cercle Brugge vs Lommel SK?

Cercle Brugge 0-1 Lommel SK (half time 0-0).

Did the Cercle Brugge vs Lommel SK tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip lost.