Pro LeagueMatchday 8

Westerlo 5-1 Antwerp: prediction, tips and result

·

Westerlo
0-42-24-04-22-0
5-1Full time(half time 1-1)
Antwerp
0-21-30-11-44-4
Stadium:
Het Kuipje, Westerlo
Referee:
Bram Van Driessche

Our tips

Tips and chances as published: . A published tip never changes.

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won63%

over 2.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 7 (52% of league matches); our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

Other tips

  • Cards – Antwerp (yellow=1, red=2): Under 2.5Lost63%

    Antwerp: 2.0 card points a match, Westerlo's opponents collected 1.3 card points on average, league average 2.2; scoring: yellow 1, red 2, second yellow 3 in total

  • Shots on Target: Over 8.5Won65%

    10.9 shots on target a match in the hosts' matches, 12.4 in the visitors', league average 8.8; over 8.5 shots on target in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 7 (49% of league matches)

  • Offsides – Westerlo: Under 1.5Won62%

    Westerlo: 0.9 offsides a match, Antwerp's opponents were caught offside 1.0 times on average, league average 1.8; under 1.5 offsides in 6 of their last 7 league matches, Antwerp's opponents were caught offside under 1.5 times in 5 of 7 (51% of league matches)

  • Fouls: Under 20.5Lost59%

    our numbers: 19.5 fouls against a league average of 20.9; referee Bram Van Driessche averages 20.2 fouls a match, league average 20.9

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won41%

over 3.5 goals in 6 of the hosts' last 7 league matches and 3 of the visitors' last 7 (28% of league matches); our numbers: 3.3 goals in total in this match, league average 2.7

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWesterlo167649%43%Draw24%28%Antwerp163027%29%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%63%O2.563%62%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Antwerp2:0WesterloL
  2. Westerlo2:4AntwerpL
  3. Antwerp0:2WesterloW
  4. Westerlo2:0AntwerpW
  5. Antwerp3:2WesterloL
Westerlo's record: 2 wins, 0 draws, 3 losses3.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.2under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 6
Yellow cardsleague yellows3.5league 3.7under 3.5: 53%Expected yellow cards: 3.5 in this match, 3.7 on average in the league.In this league 51% of matches end under 3.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.lost · ended 5
RefereeB. Van Driessche−0.2 yellow cards vs average29 matches
Dutching(several bets at once)75%O2.51:1coverageleague 64% · H2H 2/5covered

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.4total 3.3Attack/defence1.8 : 1.4total 3.2
Westerlo : Antwerp
Most likely scores
Market1-111%2-19%1-27%2-07%1-06%2-2—Attack/defence1-111%2-19%1-27%2-07%1-07%2-27%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%2-12-19%2-19%1-21-27%1-27%2-02-07%2-07%1-01-06%1-07%2-22-2—2-27%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals85%83%83%
12 – no draw76%76%76%
1X – home team avoid defeat73%70%70%
Both teams to score: yes64%63%63%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals63%62%62%
Under 3.5 goals59%60%60%
X2 – away team avoid defeat51%54%54%
1 – Westerlo win49%46% · Elo 43%46%· Elo 43%
Over 3.5 goals41%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals37%38%38%
Both teams to score: no36%37%37%
2 – Antwerp win27%30% · Elo 29%30%· Elo 29%
X – draw24%24% · Elo 28%24%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals15%17%17%
Attack vs defence
Westerlo attack vs Antwerp defenceattack1570defence1490+80 pts to the attack
Antwerp attack vs Westerlo defenceattack1487defence1427+60 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Shots on target, fouls, offsides

Shots on targetleague average
Over 8.5 · 65%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 35%over
We expect 10.0 in this match, 8.8 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
7.576%61%
8.565%50%
9.553%39%
10.541%28%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Westerlowe expect 6.0, league average 4.8 · chance of over 4.5: 69%
Antwerpwe expect 4.7, league average 4.0 · chance of over 3.5: 68%
Foulsleague average
Under 20.5 · 59%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 41%
We expect 19.5 in this match, 21.0 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
19.548%63%
20.541%55%
21.534%47%
22.527%39%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Westerlowe expect 9.5, league average 10.1 · chance of over 10.5: 35%
Antwerpwe expect 11.2, league average 10.8 · chance of over 10.5: 55%
Referee: 20.2 fouls per match on average (29 matches in our data)−1.9 vs the league average
Offsidesleague average
Under 3.5 · 57%close to the league averageunderover 43%
We expect 3.4 in this match, 3.5 on average in the league.
LineChance of overLeague
2.565%62%
3.543%43%
4.525%28%
5.513%17%
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.
Each team on its own
Westerlowe expect 1.3, league average 1.8 · chance of over 1.5: 38%
Antwerpwe expect 2.0, league average 1.7 · chance of over 1.5: 57%

Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Westerlo concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Antwerp: 4 defeats in a row
  • Westerlo: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Antwerp: 21 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

Westerlo

Antwerp

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
6Westerlo841320:1713
13Antwerp821512:207
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Westerlo vs Antwerp?

Westerlo 5-1 Antwerp (half time 1-1).

Did the Westerlo vs Antwerp tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.

See also