Brasileiro Serie AMatchday 19

Coritiba 1-3 Palmeiras: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Estadio Couto Pereira, Curitiba (attendance: 27,273)
Referee:
Anderson Daronco

The match in numbers

1X2EloCoritiba164525%24%Draw30%27%Palmeiras187446%49%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS46%50%O2.540%45%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.4both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Coritiba0:2PalmeirasL
  2. Palmeiras3:1CoritibaL
  3. Palmeiras4:0CoritibaL
  4. Coritiba0:2PalmeirasL
  5. Coritiba1:0PalmeirasW
Coritiba's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 4 losses2.6 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.3league 10.0under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.3 in this match, 10.0 on average in the league.In this league 62% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12
Cardsleague cards5.1league 5.2under 5.5: 61%Expected cards: 5.1 in this match, 5.2 on average in the league.In this league 56% of matches end under 5.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 29%.won · ended 4
RefereeA. Daronco−0.2 cards vs average9 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market0.9 : 1.4total 2.3Attack/defence1.1 : 1.4total 2.5
Coritiba : Palmeiras
Most likely scores
Market1-114%0-113%0-011%0-29%1-29%1-0—Attack/defence1-113%0-111%0-09%0-28%1-29%1-09%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-114%1-113%0-10-113%0-111%0-00-011%0-09%0-20-29%0-28%1-21-29%1-29%1-01-0—1-09%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Under 3.5 goals80%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat76%71%71%
12 – no draw71%72%72%
Over 1.5 goals68%70%70%
Under 2.5 goals60%55%55%
1X – home team avoid defeat55%56%56%
Both teams to score: no54%50%50%
2 – Palmeiras win46%44% · Elo 49%44%· Elo 49%
Both teams to score: yes46%50%50%
Over 2.5 goals40%45%45%
Under 1.5 goals32%30%30%
X – draw30%28% · Elo 27%28%· Elo 27%
1 – Coritiba win25%29% · Elo 24%29%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals20%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Coritiba attack vs Palmeiras defenceattack1441defence1635−194 pts to the attack
Palmeiras attack vs Coritiba defenceattack1582defence1435+147 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Palmeiras concede only 0.5 goals per game
  • Palmeiras: unbeaten in 13 matches
  • Palmeiras: 22 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 17 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Coritiba: newly promoted
  • Coritiba: 53 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Palmeiras: 52 days since the last match, 0 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Palmeiras30189352:2263
11Coritiba301091138:4839
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Coritiba vs Palmeiras?

Coritiba 1-3 Palmeiras (half time 0-2).