Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 15

Chongqing Tonglianglong 2-3 Beijing Guoan: prediction, tips and result

Saturday 30 May · 13:00

Chongqing Tonglianglong

1-1 2-2 1-3 0-0 1-0

2-3Full time(half time 0-1)

Beijing Guoan

1-2 1-1 4-2 2-2 3-0

Stadium:: Longxing Football Stadium, Chongqing
Referee:: Qiu Zhaojun

The match in numbers

1X2Elono forecast

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%O2.554%|exp. goals 1.2 : 1.6both scored

H2Hhome side's goals firstnever met

Cornersleague corners10.4league 10.3under 10.5: 53%Expected corners: 10.4 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 10.5 corners.lost · ended 12

Cardsleague cards4.4league 4.4under 4.5: 55%Expected cards: 4.4 in this match, 4.4 on average in the league.In this league 50% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 20%.won · ended 4

RefereeQ. Zhaojun+0.6 cards vs average3 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Attack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Attack/defence1.2 : 1.6total 2.9

Chongqing Tonglianglong : Beijing Guoan

Most likely scores

Attack/defence1-112%1-29%0-19%0-28%2-17%1-07%

Attack/defence1-11-112%1-21-29%0-10-19%0-20-28%2-12-17%1-01-07%

Attack vs defence

Chongqing Tonglianglong attack vs Beijing Guoan defenceattack1384defence1518−134 pts to the attack

Beijing Guoan attack vs Chongqing Tonglianglong defenceattack1636defence1489+147 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

Beijing Guoan concede a lot late on: 9 of 21 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
Chongqing Tonglianglong: newly promoted
Chongqing Tonglianglong: 6 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
Beijing Guoan: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form