Shandong Luneng 1-2 Henan Songshan Longmen: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Jinan Olympic Sports Center, Jinan
Referee:
Shuran Gan

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Lost60%

under 4.5 cards in 7 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (54% of league matches); 3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.6 in the visitors', league average 4.2

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won59%

    9.8 corners a match in the hosts' matches, 8.4 in the visitors', league average 10.3

  • Total Goals: Over 2.5Won72%

    our numbers: 3.7 goals in total in this match, league average 3.2; over 2.5 goals in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (61% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Lost42%

under 3.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 5 of the visitors' last 10 (38% of league matches); 3.2 cards a match in the hosts' matches, 3.6 in the visitors', league average 4.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloShandong Luneng139146%54%Draw23%25%Henan Songshan Longmen130531%21%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS71%60%O2.572%59%|exp. goals 1.8 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Henan Songshan Longmen0:1Shandong LunengW
  2. Henan Songshan Longmen2:2Shandong LunengD
  3. Shandong Luneng0:0Henan Songshan LongmenD
  4. Henan Songshan Longmen1:0Shandong LunengL
  5. Shandong Luneng2:2Henan Songshan LongmenD
Shandong Luneng's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.3under 10.5: 59%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 9
Cardsleague cards4.1league 4.2under 4.5: 60%Expected cards: 4.1 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 17%.lost · ended 5
RefereeS. Gan+0.3 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market2.0 : 1.7total 3.7Attack/defence1.8 : 1.2total 3.1
Shandong Luneng : Henan Songshan Longmen
Most likely scores
Market1-19%2-19%1-0—2-0—2-27%1-27%3-16%Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%2-26%1-27%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-19%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-0—2-08%2-22-27%2-26%1-21-27%1-27%3-13-16%3-1—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals89%81%81%
12 – no draw77%77%77%
Over 2.5 goals72%59%59%
Both teams to score: yes71%60%60%
1X – home team avoid defeat69%75%75%
X2 – away team avoid defeat54%49%49%
Over 3.5 goals51%37%37%
Under 3.5 goals49%63%63%
1 – Shandong Luneng win46%51% · Elo 54%51%· Elo 54%
2 – Henan Songshan Longmen win31%25% · Elo 21%25%· Elo 21%
Both teams to score: no29%40%40%
Under 2.5 goals28%41%41%
X – draw23%23% · Elo 25%23%· Elo 25%
Under 1.5 goals11%19%19%
Attack vs defence
Shandong Luneng attack vs Henan Songshan Longmen defenceattack1623defence1556+67 pts to the attack
Henan Songshan Longmen attack vs Shandong Luneng defenceattack1486defence1501−15 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Shandong Luneng concede 2.0 goals per game
  • Shandong Luneng score 2.3 goals per game
  • Shandong Luneng: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Shandong Luneng: 8 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
  • Henan Songshan Longmen: 9 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
4Shandong Luneng27135947:4438
13Henan Songshan Longmen27810935:3728
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Shandong Luneng vs Henan Songshan Longmen?

Shandong Luneng 1-2 Henan Songshan Longmen (half time 0-2).

Did the Shandong Luneng vs Henan Songshan Longmen tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip lost.