Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3-2 Yunnan Yukun: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
TEDA Soccer Stadium, Tianjin
Referee:
Kun Ai

Our tips

Main tip
Cards: Under 4.5Won66%

our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.2; under 4.5 cards in 6 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 8 of the visitors' last 10 (53% of league matches)

Other tips

  • Corners: Under 10.5Won58%

    under 10.5 corners in 8 of the hosts' last 10 league matches and 7 of the visitors' last 10 (60% of league matches)

For the brave
Cards: Under 3.5Won48%

our numbers: 3.8 cards against a league average of 4.2; referee Kun Ai averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 4.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloTianjin Jinmen Tiger133437%49%Draw27%27%Yunnan Yukun128036%24%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS61%59%O2.557%57%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.3both scored
H2Hlast 3 meetings
  1. Yunnan Yukun0:3Tianjin Jinmen TigerW
  2. Yunnan Yukun2:0Tianjin Jinmen TigerL
  3. Tianjin Jinmen Tiger0:1Yunnan YukunL
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger's record: 1 win, 0 draws, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 10.2under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 61% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 8
Cardsleague cards3.8league 4.2under 4.5: 66%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 14%.won · ended 3
RefereeK. Ai−1.4 cards vs average6 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.5total 3.0Attack/defence1.7 : 1.3total 3.0
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger : Yunnan Yukun
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-18%1-07%1-28%2-0—0-17%Attack/defence1-112%2-19%1-09%1-27%2-07%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-18%2-19%1-01-07%1-09%1-21-28%1-27%2-02-0—2-07%0-10-17%0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals81%79%79%
12 – no draw73%75%75%
Under 3.5 goals65%66%66%
1X – home team avoid defeat64%72%72%
X2 – away team avoid defeat63%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes61%59%59%
Over 2.5 goals57%57%57%
Under 2.5 goals43%43%43%
Both teams to score: no39%41%41%
1 – Tianjin Jinmen Tiger win37%47% · Elo 49%47%· Elo 49%
2 – Yunnan Yukun win36%28% · Elo 24%28%· Elo 24%
Over 3.5 goals35%34%34%
X – draw27%25% · Elo 27%25%· Elo 27%
Under 1.5 goals19%21%21%
Attack vs defence
Tianjin Jinmen Tiger attack vs Yunnan Yukun defenceattack1448defence1431+17 pts to the attack
Yunnan Yukun attack vs Tianjin Jinmen Tiger defenceattack1543defence1545−2 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger concede a lot late on: 9 of 22 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger score a lot late on: 11 of 26 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
  • Tianjin Jinmen Tiger: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Yunnan Yukun: 6 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
5Yunnan Yukun271151155:5838
12Tianjin Jinmen Tiger27108937:3228
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Yunnan Yukun?

Tianjin Jinmen Tiger 3-2 Yunnan Yukun (half time 0-1).

Did the Tianjin Jinmen Tiger vs Yunnan Yukun tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Cards: Under 4.5. The tip won.