Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 23

Wuhan Three Towns 2-3 Shanghai SIPG: prediction, tips and result

Friday 14 August · 12:35

Wuhan Three Towns

0-1 2-3 2-0 1-0 1-1

2-3Full time(half time 1-0)

Shanghai SIPG

3-2 0-1 2-0 2-2 1-2

Stadium:: Wuhan Sports Center Stadium, Wuhan
Referee:: Kun Ai

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Lost64%

referee Kun Ai averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 4.2

For the brave

Cards: Under 3.5Lost45%

referee Kun Ai averages 3.0 cards a match, league average 4.2

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloWuhan Three Towns122235%23%Draw25%26%Shanghai SIPG146739%52%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS64%60%O2.562%57%|exp. goals 1.3 : 1.7both scored

H2Hlast 5 meetings

25/04/202625/04/26Shanghai SIPG4:0Wuhan Three TownsL
26/09/202526/09/25Shanghai SIPG3:2Wuhan Three TownsL
05/05/202505/05/25Wuhan Three Towns0:2Shanghai SIPGL
25/06/202425/06/24Wuhan Three Towns0:2Shanghai SIPGL
01/03/202401/03/24Shanghai SIPG3:1Wuhan Three TownsL

Wuhan Three Towns's record: 0 wins, 0 draws, 5 losses3.4 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.0league 10.2under 10.5: 58%Expected corners: 10.0 in this match, 10.2 on average in the league.In this league 60% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 3

Cardsleague cards4.0league 4.2under 4.5: 64%Expected cards: 4.0 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 13%.lost · ended 6

RefereeK. Ai−1.3 cards vs average7 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.5 : 1.6total 3.1Attack/defence1.3 : 1.7total 3.0

Wuhan Three Towns : Shanghai SIPG

Most likely scores

Market1-111%1-29%0-16%2-18%0-2—2-27%1-0—Attack/defence1-111%1-29%0-18%2-17%0-27%2-2—1-06%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-111%1-21-29%1-29%0-10-16%0-18%2-12-18%2-17%0-20-2—0-27%2-22-27%2-2—1-01-0—1-06%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	83%80%	80%
12 – no draw	74%76%	76%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	64%71%	71%
Both teams to score: yes	64%60%	60%
Over 2.5 goals	62%57%	57%
Under 3.5 goals	61%65%	65%
1X – home team avoid defeat	60%53%	53%
2 – Shanghai SIPG win	39%47% · Elo 52%	47%· Elo 52%
Over 3.5 goals	39%35%	35%
Under 2.5 goals	38%43%	43%
Both teams to score: no	36%41%	41%
1 – Wuhan Three Towns win	35%29% · Elo 23%	29%· Elo 23%
X – draw	25%25% · Elo 26%	25%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals	17%20%	20%

Attack vs defence

Wuhan Three Towns attack vs Shanghai SIPG defenceattack1439defence1554−115 pts to the attack

Shanghai SIPG attack vs Wuhan Three Towns defenceattack1606defence1435+171 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

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