Chinese Super LeagueMatchday 20

Zhejiang Professional 3-2 Dalian Yingbo: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 26 July · 13:00

Zhejiang Professional

2-0 1-3 2-3 3-2 1-1

3-2Full time(half time 1-0)

Dalian Yingbo

3-1 3-2 1-4 0-1 2-0

Stadium:: Huanglong Stadium, Hangzhou
Referee:: Yige Dai

Our tips

Main tip

Cards: Under 4.5Lost71%

referee Yige Dai averages 2.6 cards a match, league average 4.2; our numbers: 3.6 cards against a league average of 4.2

For the brave

Correct Score: 1:1Lost10%

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloZhejiang Professional132044%51%Draw25%26%Dalian Yingbo129231%23%favourite won

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS67%61%O2.566%61%|exp. goals 1.9 : 1.2both scored

H2Hlast 3 meetings

10/04/202610/04/26Dalian Yingbo3:0Zhejiang ProfessionalL
30/06/202530/06/25Dalian Yingbo1:0Zhejiang ProfessionalL
23/02/202523/02/25Zhejiang Professional1:1Dalian YingboD

Zhejiang Professional's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.3under 10.5: 56%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 10.5 corners.won · ended 7

Cardsleague cards3.6league 4.2under 4.5: 71%Expected cards: 3.6 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 4.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 21%.lost · ended 5

RefereeY. Dai−3.4 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.9 : 1.5total 3.4Attack/defence1.9 : 1.2total 3.1

Zhejiang Professional : Dalian Yingbo

Most likely scores

Market1-110%2-19%1-0—2-06%1-27%2-27%3-1—Attack/defence1-111%2-110%1-08%2-08%1-26%2-2—3-16%

MarketAttack/defence1-11-110%1-111%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-0—1-08%2-02-06%2-08%1-21-27%1-26%2-22-27%2-2—3-13-1—3-16%

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	86%82%	82%
12 – no draw	75%77%	77%
1X – home team avoid defeat	69%76%	76%
Both teams to score: yes	67%61%	61%
Over 2.5 goals	66%61%	61%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	56%48%	48%
Under 3.5 goals	56%62%	62%
1 – Zhejiang Professional win	44%53% · Elo 51%	53%· Elo 51%
Over 3.5 goals	44%38%	38%
Under 2.5 goals	34%40%	40%
Both teams to score: no	33%40%	40%
2 – Dalian Yingbo win	31%25% · Elo 23%	25%· Elo 23%
X – draw	25%23% · Elo 26%	23%· Elo 26%
Under 1.5 goals	14%18%	18%

Attack vs defence

Zhejiang Professional attack vs Dalian Yingbo defenceattack1562defence1481+81 pts to the attack

Dalian Yingbo attack vs Zhejiang Professional defenceattack1423defence1438−15 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

League form