Torneo DIMAYORMatchday 6
Independiente Valle Del Cauca vs Envigado: prediction, tips and stats
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1.1:0.9Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 9d 13hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS41%O2.530%34%|exp. goals 1.1 : 0.9H2Hlast 3 meetings
- Envigado2:0Independiente Valle Del CaucaL
- Independiente Valle Del Cauca1:1EnvigadoD
- Envigado2:0Independiente Valle Del CaucaL
Independiente Valle Del Cauca's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 2 losses2.0 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.0league 9.1under 9.5: 59%Expected corners: 9.0 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellows
4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.Referee
no referee dataPrediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.0 : 0.9total 1.9Attack/defence1.1 : 0.9total 2.1
Independiente Valle Del Cauca : EnvigadoMost likely scores
Model0-015%1-015%0-114%1-113%2-07%2-1—Attack/defence0-013%1-014%0-111%1-114%2-08%2-18%
ModelAttack/defence0-00-015%0-013%1-01-015%1-014%0-10-114%0-111%1-11-113%1-114%2-02-07%2-08%2-12-1—2-18%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 87%85% | 85% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 70%66% | 66% |
| 12 – no draw | 69%69% | 69% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%71% | 71% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 65%60% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57%61% | 61% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 43%39% | 39% |
| 1 – Independiente Valle Del Cauca win | 36%40% · Elo 39% | 40%· Elo 39% |
| 2 – Envigado win | 33%29% · Elo 31% | 29%· Elo 31% |
| X – draw | 31%31% · Elo 30% | 31%· Elo 30% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30%34% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13%15% | 15% |
Attack vs defence
Independiente Valle Del Cauca attack vs Envigado defenceattack1547defence1611−64 pts to the attack
Envigado attack vs Independiente Valle Del Cauca defenceattack1582defence1577+5 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Independiente Valle Del Cauca matches average only 3.9 cards (league 5.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Envigado: only 1 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Independiente Valle Del Cauca: newly promoted
- Envigado: newly promoted
- Independiente Valle Del Cauca: 12 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
- Envigado: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Group A
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Envigado | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 4 | Independiente Valle Del Cauca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:7 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Independiente Valle Del Cauca win 36%, draw 31%, Envigado win 33%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
Expected goals: 1.9 (Independiente Valle Del Cauca 1.0, Envigado 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 30%. Most likely score: 0-0.
The Torneo DIMAYOR match kicks off 22 November 2026, 06:00 (UK time).