Torneo DIMAYORMatchday 6
Magdalena vs Boca Juniors: prediction, tips and stats
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1.6:0.7Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 9d 13hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS42%O2.540%40%|exp. goals 1.6 : 0.7H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Boca Juniors1:1MagdalenaD
- Boca Juniors1:1MagdalenaD
- Magdalena0:2Boca JuniorsL
- Magdalena1:0Boca JuniorsW
- Boca Juniors0:0MagdalenaD
Magdalena's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.4 goals per match
Cornersleague corners
too few matchesCardsleague cards
too few matchesReferee
no referee dataPrediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model1.5 : 0.8total 2.3Attack/defence1.6 : 0.7total 2.3
Magdalena : Boca JuniorsMost likely scores
Model1-015%2-012%1-112%0-010%2-19%0-1—Attack/defence1-015%2-012%1-112%0-010%2-19%0-17%
ModelAttack/defence1-01-015%1-015%2-02-012%2-012%1-11-112%1-112%0-00-010%0-010%2-12-19%2-19%0-10-1—0-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%83% | 83% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 80%80% | 80% |
| 12 – no draw | 74%74% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67%67% | 67% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 60%60% | 60% |
| 1 – Magdalena win | 55%57% · Elo 61% | 57%· Elo 61% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 45%43% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40%40% | 40% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 33%33% | 33% |
| X – draw | 26%26% · Elo 24% | 26%· Elo 24% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20%20% | 20% |
| 2 – Boca Juniors win | 19%17% · Elo 15% | 17%· Elo 15% |
Attack vs defence
Magdalena attack vs Boca Juniors defenceattack1589defence1477+112 pts to the attack
Boca Juniors attack vs Magdalena defenceattack1489defence1609−120 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Magdalena matches average only 3.7 cards (league 5.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Magdalena: only 2 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Magdalena: unbeaten in 12 league matches
- Magdalena: newly promoted
- Magdalena: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- Boca Juniors: 11 days since the last match, 1 match in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Group A
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Boca Juniors | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Magdalena | 4 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3:3 | 4 |
Frequently asked questions
Magdalena are the favourites. Chances: Magdalena win 55%, draw 26%, Boca Juniors win 19%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
Expected goals: 2.3 (Magdalena 1.5, Boca Juniors 0.8). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 40%. Most likely score: 1-0.
The Torneo DIMAYOR match kicks off 22 November 2026, 06:00 (UK time).