Torneo DIMAYORMatchday 5
Tigres vs Real Cundinamarca: prediction, tips and stats
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1.0:0.9Pre-match
Our tips
Tip in 1d 19hFor matches from 3 pm UK time we publish the tips at noon, for earlier ones 3 hours before kick-off.
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defence
BTTS38%O2.527%30%|exp. goals 1.0 : 0.9H2Hlast 5 meetings
- Real Cundinamarca0:0TigresD
- Tigres0:0Real CundinamarcaD
- Real Cundinamarca0:2TigresW
- Tigres0:2Real CundinamarcaL
- Real Cundinamarca1:1TigresD
Tigres's record: 1 win, 3 draws, 1 loss1.2 goals per match
Cornersleague cornersin line with the league
9.2league 9.1under 9.5: 56%Expected corners: 9.2 in this match, 9.1 on average in the league.In this league 57% of matches end under 9.5 corners.Yellow cardsleague yellows
4.9league 5.1under 5.5: 64%Expected yellow cards: 4.9 in this match, 5.1 on average in the league.In this league 59% of matches end under 5.5 yellow cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 23%.Referee
no referee dataPrediction: result and goals
Modelno odds, our statistical modelAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Model0.9 : 0.9total 1.8Attack/defence1.0 : 0.9total 1.9
Tigres : Real CundinamarcaMost likely scores
Model0-017%1-015%0-115%1-113%2-07%2-1—Attack/defence0-015%1-014%0-113%1-114%2-07%2-17%
ModelAttack/defence0-00-017%0-015%1-01-015%1-014%0-10-115%0-113%1-11-113%1-114%2-02-07%2-07%2-12-1—2-17%
| Outcome | Model | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 goals | 89%87% | 87% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 73%71% | 71% |
| 12 – no draw | 67%67% | 67% |
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 67%68% | 68% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 66%65% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53%57% | 57% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 47%43% | 43% |
| 1 – Tigres win | 34%35% · Elo 38% | 35%· Elo 38% |
| 2 – Real Cundinamarca win | 34%32% · Elo 32% | 32%· Elo 32% |
| X – draw | 33%33% · Elo 31% | 33%· Elo 31% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27%30% | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11%13% | 13% |
Attack vs defence
Tigres attack vs Real Cundinamarca defenceattack1413defence1559−146 pts to the attack
Real Cundinamarca attack vs Tigres defenceattack1552defence1554−2 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Shots on target, fouls, offsides
Shots on targetleague average
Over 7.5 · 58%likely more than usual in the leagueunder 42%over
We expect 8.3 in this match, 7.7 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.6.571%68%
7.558%53%
8.545%40%
9.533%24%
Each team on its own
Tigreswe expect 4.8, league average 4.4 · chance of over 4.5: 52%
Real Cundinamarcawe expect 3.8, league average 3.4 · chance of over 3.5: 52%
Foulsleague average
Under 24.5 · 52%likely fewer than usual in the leagueunderover 48%
We expect 24.6 in this match, 24.8 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.23.555%57%
24.548%54%
25.542%47%
26.536%41%
Each team on its own
Tigreswe expect 12.5, league average 12.5 · chance of over 12.5: 47%
Real Cundinamarcawe expect 12.1, league average 12.3 · chance of over 12.5: 43%
Offsidesleague average
Under 4.5 · 55%likely more than usual in the leagueunderover 45%
We expect 4.4 in this match, 4.2 on average in the league.LineChance of overLeague
Both teams combined. Main line in bold.3.563%55%
4.545%39%
5.528%24%
6.516%15%
Each team on its own
Tigreswe expect 3.0, league average 2.2 · chance of over 2.5: 56%
Real Cundinamarcawe expect 1.5, league average 2.0 · chance of over 2.5: 19%
Counts cover 90 minutes, extra time excluded. Bookmakers settle on the league's official statistics, which can differ from ours by one.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- Tigres matches average only 3.6 cards (league 5.3) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
- Tigres: only 1 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Real Cundinamarca: only 2 of the last 10 league matches over 2.5 goals
- Real Cundinamarca score only 0.6 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
- Tigres score only 0.7 goals per game (last 10 league matches)
- Tigres: 1 day since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
- Real Cundinamarca: 0 days since the last match, 3 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
League position
Group B
| # | Team | Played | Won | Drawn | Lost | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Tigres | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2:1 | 5 |
| 4 | Real Cundinamarca | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | 2 |
Frequently asked questions
It is an evenly matched game. Chances: Tigres win 34%, draw 33%, Real Cundinamarca win 34%. No odds for this match: chances from our statistical model.
Expected goals: 1.8 (Tigres 0.9, Real Cundinamarca 0.9). Chance of over 2.5 goals: 27%. Most likely score: 0-0.
The Torneo DIMAYOR match kicks off 15 November 2026, 23:05 (UK time).