1. LigaMatchday 1

Brno 3-1 Sparta Prague: prediction, tips and result

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3-1Full time(half time 1-0)
Stadium:
Mestsky Fotbalovy Stadion Srbska, Brno
Referee:
Jan Benes

Our tips

Main tip
Total Goals: Over 2.5Won59%

over 2.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

For the brave
Total Goals: Over 3.5Won37%

over 3.5 goals in 4 of the last 5 head-to-head meetings; our numbers: 3.1 goals in total in this match, league average 2.6

How our tips did

The match in numbers

1X2EloBrno148321%15%Draw23%21%Sparta Prague176157%64%favourite did not win
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS58%55%O2.559%53%|exp. goals 1.1 : 1.7both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Sparta Prague3:1BrnoL
  2. Brno0:4Sparta PragueL
  3. Sparta Prague6:1BrnoL
  4. Brno1:4Sparta PragueL
  5. Sparta Prague1:1BrnoD
Brno's record: 0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses4.4 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeJ. Benes+0.8 cards vs average32 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.1 : 2.0total 3.1Attack/defence1.1 : 1.7total 2.8
Brno : Sparta Prague
Most likely scores
Market1-111%1-210%0-18%0-29%0-0—1-0—1-36%Attack/defence1-112%1-210%0-110%0-29%0-06%1-06%1-3—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-21-210%1-210%0-10-18%0-110%0-20-29%0-29%0-00-0—0-06%1-01-0—1-06%1-31-36%1-3—
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals82%77%77%
X2 – away team avoid defeat80%77%77%
12 – no draw78%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals63%69%69%
Our tip: Over 2.5 goals59%53%53%
Both teams to score: yes58%55%55%
2 – Sparta Prague win57%52% · Elo 64%52%· Elo 64%
1X – home team avoid defeat44%48%48%
Both teams to score: no42%45%45%
Under 2.5 goals41%47%47%
Over 3.5 goals37%31%31%
X – draw23%25% · Elo 21%25%· Elo 21%
1 – Brno win21%24% · Elo 15%24%· Elo 15%
Under 1.5 goals18%23%23%
Attack vs defence
Brno attack vs Sparta Prague defenceattack1414defence1594−180 pts to the attack
Sparta Prague attack vs Brno defenceattack1637defence1408+229 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Sparta Prague concede only 0.6 goals per game
  • Sparta Prague: 25 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 19 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Brno: newly promoted

League form

Brno

No matches played this season yet.

Sparta Prague

No matches played this season yet.

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
3Sparta Prague1060420:1218
8Brno1051412:1316
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Brno vs Sparta Prague?

Brno 3-1 Sparta Prague (half time 1-0).

Did the Brno vs Sparta Prague tip win?

Our pre-match tip: Total Goals: Over 2.5. The tip won.