FNLMatchday 1

FC Banik Ostrava B 2-2 Vlasim: prediction, tips and result

Sunday 26 July · 13:30

FC Banik Ostrava B

2-2Full time(half time 1-1)

Vlasim

Stadium:: Bazaly Stadium, Ostrava
Referee:: Ales Mach

The match in numbers

1X2EloFC Banik Ostrava B127045%42%Draw27%28%Vlasim130529%30%favourite did not win

Goalsattack/defenceBTTS57%52%O2.553%48%|exp. goals 1.5 : 1.1both scored

H2Hlast 4 meetings

16/05/202616/05/26Vlasim0:1FC Banik Ostrava BW
02/11/202502/11/25FC Banik Ostrava B1:0VlasimW
28/04/202528/04/25FC Banik Ostrava B3:1VlasimW
27/09/202427/09/24Vlasim3:2FC Banik Ostrava BL

FC Banik Ostrava B's record: 3 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss2.8 goals per match

Cornersleague corners10.2league 10.3under 10.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.2 in this match, 10.3 on average in the league.In this league 54% of matches end under 10.5 corners.

Cardsleague cards3.8league 3.8over 3.5: 52%Expected cards: 3.8 in this match, 3.8 on average in the league.In this league 55% of matches end over 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 11%.

RefereeA. Mach0.0 cards vs average4 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams

Expected goals

Market1.6 : 1.2total 2.8Attack/defence1.5 : 1.1total 2.6

FC Banik Ostrava B : Vlasim

Most likely scores

Market1-113%1-09%2-19%2-08%0-1—0-0—1-27%Attack/defence1-113%1-011%2-19%2-08%0-18%0-08%1-2—

MarketAttack/defence1-11-113%1-113%1-01-09%1-011%2-12-19%2-19%2-02-08%2-08%0-10-1—0-18%0-00-0—0-08%1-21-27%1-2—

Outcome	Market	Attack/defence
Over 1.5 goals	78%73%	73%
12 – no draw	74%73%	73%
1X – home team avoid defeat	72%72%	72%
Under 3.5 goals	69%74%	74%
Both teams to score: yes	57%52%	52%
X2 – away team avoid defeat	56%55%	55%
Over 2.5 goals	53%48%	48%
Under 2.5 goals	47%52%	52%
1 – FC Banik Ostrava B win	45%45% · Elo 42%	45%· Elo 42%
Both teams to score: no	43%48%	48%
Over 3.5 goals	31%26%	26%
2 – Vlasim win	29%28% · Elo 30%	28%· Elo 30%
X – draw	27%27% · Elo 28%	27%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals	22%27%	27%

Attack vs defence

FC Banik Ostrava B attack vs Vlasim defenceattack1514defence15140 pts to the attack

Vlasim attack vs FC Banik Ostrava B defenceattack1507defence1501+6 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

FC Banik Ostrava B: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.

League form