FNLMatchday 5

Usti nad Labem 3-1 Dukla Prague: prediction, tips and result

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Stadium:
Mestsky Stadion, Usti nad Labem
Referee:
Daniel Lovetinsky

The match in numbers

1X2EloUsti nad Labem130739%37%Draw26%28%Dukla Prague136735%35%favourite won
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS59%57%O2.555%55%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.2both scored
H2Hlast 5 meetings
  1. Usti nad Labem1:1Dukla PragueD
  2. Dukla Prague0:1Usti nad LabemW
  3. Usti nad Labem1:0Dukla PragueW
  4. Dukla Prague5:0Usti nad LabemL
  5. Usti nad Labem3:2Dukla PragueW
Usti nad Labem's record: 3 wins, 1 draw, 1 loss2.8 goals per match
Cornersleague cornerstoo few matches
Cardsleague cardstoo few matches
RefereeD. Lovetinsky−1.8 cards vs average5 matches

Prediction: result and goals

Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.5 : 1.4total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.2total 2.9
Usti nad Labem : Dukla Prague
Most likely scores
Market1-112%2-19%1-07%2-0—1-28%0-17%Attack/defence1-112%2-110%1-09%2-08%1-27%0-16%
MarketAttack/defence1-11-112%1-112%2-12-19%2-110%1-01-07%1-09%2-02-0—2-08%1-21-28%1-27%0-10-17%0-16%
OutcomeMarketAttack/defence
Over 1.5 goals79%78%78%
12 – no draw74%76%76%
Under 3.5 goals67%67%67%
1X – home team avoid defeat65%74%74%
X2 – away team avoid defeat61%51%51%
Both teams to score: yes59%57%57%
Over 2.5 goals55%55%55%
Under 2.5 goals45%45%45%
Both teams to score: no41%43%43%
1 – Usti nad Labem win39%49% · Elo 37%49%· Elo 37%
2 – Dukla Prague win35%26% · Elo 35%26%· Elo 35%
Over 3.5 goals33%33%33%
X – draw26%25% · Elo 28%25%· Elo 28%
Under 1.5 goals21%22%22%
Attack vs defence
Usti nad Labem attack vs Dukla Prague defenceattack1555defence1500+55 pts to the attack
Dukla Prague attack vs Usti nad Labem defenceattack1514defence1494+20 pts to the attack

1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.

Worth knowing before kick-off

  • Usti nad Labem matches average only 2.6 cards (league 3.9) Average cards of both teams in their last 10 league matches. Cards depend mostly on the referee.
  • Usti nad Labem: 8 of 10 matches over 2.5 goals
  • Usti nad Labem: 20 pts in 10 matches, bookmakers expected about 14 Sum of the points bookmakers expected before each of these matches (from the odds, without the margin). It describes the past, it is not a forecast.
  • Dukla Prague: newly promoted
  • Usti nad Labem: 4 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
  • Dukla Prague: 7 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.

League form

League position

#TeamPWDLGoalsPts
2Dukla Prague1062221:1520
3Usti nad Labem1053217:1118
Full league table

Frequently asked questions

What was the result of Usti nad Labem vs Dukla Prague?

Usti nad Labem 3-1 Dukla Prague (half time 1-0).