1. DivisionMatchday 3
Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HB Koege: prediction, tips and result
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- Stadium:
- Riisvang Stadion, Aarhus
The match in numbers
Goalsattack/defenceBTTS55%54%O2.556%53%|exp. goals 1.7 : 1.1both scored
H2Hlast 4 meetings
- Aarhus Fremad0:0HB KoegeD
- HB Koege2:0Aarhus FremadL
- Aarhus Fremad2:2HB KoegeD
- HB Koege2:1Aarhus FremadL
Aarhus Fremad's record: 0 wins, 2 draws, 2 losses2.2 goals per match
Cornersleague corners10.1league 9.9over 9.5: 55%Expected corners: 10.1 in this match, 9.9 on average in the league.In this league 53% of matches end over 9.5 corners.lost · ended 6
Cardsleague cards3.3league 3.3under 3.5: 57%Expected cards: 3.3 in this match, 3.3 on average in the league.In this league 58% of matches end under 3.5 cards.Chance of a red card in this match: 7%.won · ended 1
Refereeno referee data
Prediction: result and goals
Marketbookmakers' odds with the margin removedAttack/defenceour attack and defence ratings of the teams
Expected goals
Market1.9 : 1.0total 2.9Attack/defence1.7 : 1.1total 2.8
Aarhus Fremad : HB KoegeMost likely scores
Market1-111%1-09%2-110%2-010%0-0—0-1—3-16%Attack/defence1-112%1-010%2-110%2-09%0-07%0-16%3-1—
MarketAttack/defence1-11-111%1-112%1-01-09%1-010%2-12-110%2-110%2-02-010%2-09%0-00-0—0-07%0-10-1—0-16%3-13-16%3-1—
| Outcome | Market | Attack/defence |
|---|---|---|
| 1X – home team avoid defeat | 81%77% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80%77% | 77% |
| 12 – no draw | 77%75% | 75% |
| Under 3.5 goals | 67%70% | 70% |
| 1 – Aarhus Fremad win | 58%52% · Elo 49% | 52%· Elo 49% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 56%53% | 53% |
| Both teams to score: yes | 55%54% | 54% |
| Both teams to score: no | 45%46% | 46% |
| Under 2.5 goals | 44%47% | 47% |
| X2 – away team avoid defeat | 42%48% | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 33%30% | 30% |
| X – draw | 23%25% · Elo 26% | 25%· Elo 26% |
| Under 1.5 goals | 20%23% | 23% |
| 2 – HB Koege win | 19%23% · Elo 25% | 23%· Elo 25% |
Attack vs defence
Aarhus Fremad attack vs HB Koege defenceattack1539defence1441+98 pts to the attack
HB Koege attack vs Aarhus Fremad defenceattack1443defence1543−100 pts to the attack
1500 = league average, +100 pts = 1.2x the goals scored (attack) or 1.2x fewer conceded (defence). A description of both teams' strength turned into goals, not a tip: the model knows nothing of line-ups or motivation.
Worth knowing before kick-off
- HB Koege: 4 defeats in a row
- Aarhus Fremad score a lot late on: 13 of 31 after the 75th minute Last 20 league matches. Usually about 25% of goals come after the 75th minute.
- Aarhus Fremad: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
- HB Koege: 8 days since the last match, 2 matches in the last 14 days.
League form
Aarhus Fremad
League position
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | Goals | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Aarhus Fremad | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 10:11 | 13 |
| 8 | HB Koege | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:17 | 10 |
Frequently asked questions
What was the result of Aarhus Fremad vs HB Koege?
Aarhus Fremad 3-1 HB Koege (half time 2-0).